Monthly Archives: February 2026
China’s year-on-year M2 money supply growth rose to 9% in January, beating forecasts of 8.4%
Written on February 13, 2026 at 1:09 pm, by davin
China’s M2 jumped 9% in January, beating forecasts—signaling faster liquidity injection. That could lift Chinese stocks, weaken the yuan, boost commodities like copper, and spark volatility opportunities. – vtmarketsmy.com
In January, China’s new loans totalled 4,710B, missing analysts’ 5,000B forecast
Written on February 13, 2026 at 1:08 pm, by davin
China’s January new yuan loans hit 4,710 billion, missing forecasts and signaling soft credit demand. That could pressure stocks, commodities, and the yuan—unless Lunar New Year distortions reverse the story. – vtmarketsmy.com
Danske Research expects eurozone Q4 2025 GDP to show 0.1% job growth, with mixed trends across countries
Written on February 13, 2026 at 12:09 pm, by davin
Eurozone jobs barely grew in Q4 2025 as Germany and France weakened, despite Spain’s surge. Cooling growth and easing inflation lift rate-cut bets, urging cheap hedges, swap receivers, and Spain-long/DAX-short trades. – vtmarketsmy.com
E-mini S&P March futures broke below 6920–6910 and now target support at 6860–6850, which may be a buying zone
Written on February 13, 2026 at 12:09 pm, by davin
Hot CPI jolts Emini S&P and Nasdaq: S&P tests key 6850 support (stop 6830); weekly close under 6830 signals sells toward 6752/6700. Nasdaq broke 24900, targets 24690–24500. – vtmarketsmy.com
After weaker Swiss CPI, the US dollar rises modestly against the franc, trading above 0.7700 at 0.7714
Written on February 13, 2026 at 12:09 pm, by davin
USD/CHF climbed above 0.7700 as Swiss inflation dipped, fueling SNB rate-cut bets. With US inflation stickier, Fed stays patient—divergence boosts dollar. Traders eye calls or selling puts. – vtmarketsmy.com
Molly Brooks of TD Securities says uncertainty centres on how many rate cuts the Fed will make, and when
Written on February 13, 2026 at 12:08 pm, by davin
Fed “higher for longer” shifts attention from next decision to when cuts start. With strong jobs and sticky inflation, March/April 2026 cut pricing looks optimistic—potentially a trade to fade. – vtmarketsmy.com
In Spain, January’s annual consumer price index came in below forecasts at 2.3%, versus 2.4% expected
Written on February 13, 2026 at 11:09 am, by davin
Spain’s January inflation hit 2.3%, below 2.4% forecasts, fueling hopes for earlier ECB rate cuts. That could lift bonds, pressure the euro, and reshuffle rate-sensitive trades. – vtmarketsmy.com
Spain’s monthly harmonised consumer prices fell 0.8% in January, below forecasts of a 0.7% decline
Written on February 13, 2026 at 11:09 am, by davin
Spain’s inflation dropped 0.8% in January, beating forecasts—and signaling Eurozone disinflation. Expect a dovish ECB pivot: bet on lower Euribor rates, a weaker euro versus USD, and stronger European stocks. – vtmarketsmy.com
Spain’s annual harmonised consumer inflation was 2.4% in January, below forecasts of 2.5%
Written on February 13, 2026 at 11:09 am, by davin
Spain’s inflation surprised lower at 2.4%, echoing Eurozone disinflation. Markets now bet on ECB rate cuts, favoring lower yields, a weaker euro, and low-volatility equity call options for upside. – vtmarketsmy.com
During European trade, GBP/USD is steady near 1.3600 support, maintaining a bullish bias within an ascending channel
Written on February 13, 2026 at 11:08 am, by davin
GBP/USD has flipped from quiet 2025 highs to a weaker 2026 setup: broken channel, bearish resistance near 1.2910, rising volatility, and a BoE dilemma—3.1% inflation, flat GDP. – vtmarketsmy.com
