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Monthly Archives: February 2026

Scotiabank analysts say EUR/USD stabilises after NFP dip as spreads and correlations recover, targeting 1.20

Written on February 12, 2026 at 10:09 pm, by

EUR/USD steadies after a jobs-data dip, hinting at renewed upside. Bullish trend since February 2025 holds; yields support euro strength. Resistance thins above 1.19, targeting 1.20. Traders eye calls, or sell puts. – vtmarketsmy.com

U.S. existing home sales fell 8.4% month on month in January, reversing a previous 5.1% rise

Written on February 12, 2026 at 10:09 pm, by

Home sales just plunged 8.4% in January—wiping out last month’s gains. High 6.8% mortgages are crushing affordability, hitting housing stocks, boosting rate-cut bets, and reviving volatility hedges. – vtmarketsmy.com

U.S. existing home sales missed forecasts, coming in at 3.91M month on month versus 4.15M expected in January

Written on February 12, 2026 at 10:08 pm, by

Surprise housing slump: January existing home sales missed forecasts (3.91M vs 4.15M), highlighting affordability pain from 7%+ mortgages, boosting rate-cut odds and reshaping trades in housing stocks and bonds. – vtmarketsmy.com

ICE Brent nears $70/bbl as Iran and OPEC+ cut uncertainty, countering a large US stock build

Written on February 12, 2026 at 9:10 pm, by

Brent nears $70 as Iran fears and OPEC+ cuts outweigh a huge U.S. stock build. Drone-hit refinery news lifts margins, but Kazakhstan’s CPC exports rebound soon, limiting gains. India’s Russian demand shift looms. – vtmarketsmy.com

TripAdvisor holiday review firm reports 4p adjusted EPS, below forecasts and down from 30p a year earlier

Written on February 12, 2026 at 9:09 pm, by

TripAdvisor’s Q4 EPS crashed to $0.04, missing forecasts by 73% as revenue stalled. Shares already down 16.5%, volatility spiking. Macro travel weakness and Wayfair’s report add bearish fuel. – vtmarketsmy.com

Gold trades flat near $5,060 as easing Fed rate-cut expectations and geopolitical strains support demand within the $5,000–$5,100 range

Written on February 12, 2026 at 9:09 pm, by

Gold holds above $5,000, stuck between $5,000–$5,100 as strong US jobs cool rate-cut hopes but geopolitics boosts safe-haven demand. Traders eye low-volatility options plays ahead of CPI, PPI. – vtmarketsmy.com

Nomura’s Buckley says UK GDP limped after 2025, but the BoE and markets expect a recovery in 2026

Written on February 12, 2026 at 9:09 pm, by

UK growth limped into 2026, but a rebound is forecast. The catch: it depends on shoppers saving less. With PMI data looming, traders eye rate cuts, weaker sterling, and FTSE 250 hedges. – vtmarketsmy.com

AUD/USD rises about 0.21% to near 0.7140 after hitting 0.7147, supported by Australia’s inflation expectations

Written on February 12, 2026 at 8:09 pm, by

AUD/USD hit 0.7147 in 2025 on RBA hike bets amid 5% inflation expectations. Now inflation cooled, RBA and Fed paused, AUD/USD ranges near 0.6650; low-volatility strategies. – vtmarketsmy.com

USD/CAD holds near 1.3571 as cautious investors weigh trade concerns and a softer US dollar

Written on February 12, 2026 at 8:09 pm, by

USD/CAD hovers near 1.357 as weaker US data and soft CPI cap the dollar. But USMCA exit fears support USD. Volatility rises—options straddles/strangles may profit. – vtmarketsmy.com

TD Securities said the BoC minutes seemed mildly dovish, citing stimulative rates, geopolitical risks, and USMCA uncertainty

Written on February 12, 2026 at 8:09 pm, by

Bank of Canada stays cautiously dovish: rates seen slightly stimulative, cuts not imminent despite slowing jobs, with 2.9% inflation sticky. USMCA and geopolitics add risk, keeping CAD range-bound. – vtmarketsmy.com

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