Monthly Archives: February 2026
Despite weak UK GDP, EUR/GBP remains range-bound as sterling stabilises, with focus shifting to Eurozone data
Written on February 12, 2026 at 5:09 pm, by davin
EUR/GBP sits near 0.8710—quiet now, but don’t blink. Weak UK growth and falling inflation boost March BoE cut odds, while resilient Eurozone supports steady ECB rates, favoring EUR upside. – vtmarketsmy.com
Russia’s central bank reserves fell to $797.5B from $826.8B reported previously
Written on February 12, 2026 at 5:09 pm, by davin
Russia burned $29.3bn in reserves as oil slips, signaling ruble defense. USD/RUB volatility is rising after testing 115. Traders eye options for ruble weakness and VIX hedges. – vtmarketsmy.com
Nomura says persistent eurozone wage pressures could sustain inflation risks into 2027–2028, delaying ECB rate rises
Written on February 12, 2026 at 5:09 pm, by davin
Wages and ultra-tight jobs could reignite eurozone inflation in 2027–2028, Nomura warns—meaning ECB hikes, not cuts. Markets price mild rises, but Nomura sees two 2028 hikes. – vtmarketsmy.com
Ahead of US claims and housing data, the euro edges higher against the dollar but remains within its recent range
Written on February 12, 2026 at 4:09 pm, by davin
EUR/USD nudged up to 1.1880 as strong US jobs data cooled cut bets, but mixed details capped the dollar. Now, jobless claims, home sales, ECB speeches, and CPI could spark a breakout. – vtmarketsmy.com
Hauser’s hawkish RBA remarks bolster the Australian dollar despite falling yields and cautious rate expectations
Written on February 12, 2026 at 4:09 pm, by davin
Aussie dollar jumps on RBA’s hawkish Hauser, but bond markets still price modest hikes. OCBC lifts AUD/USD to 0.73 by 2026. This disconnect could spark volatility—options like calls or straddles. – vtmarketsmy.com
After strong US payrolls, strategists say a hawkish Fed repricing raised recovery hurdles, but the dollar’s gains faded
Written on February 12, 2026 at 4:09 pm, by davin
Hot US jobs data briefly boosted the dollar, then fizzled—traders keep selling rallies despite hawkish Fed repricing. Markets now await CPI: a surprise could revive DXY; soft inflation renews downside. – vtmarketsmy.com
Sterling weakens on poor UK data, but GBP/USD holds above 1.3600 and edges towards 1.3640 as the uptrend remains intact
Written on February 12, 2026 at 4:09 pm, by davin
UK’s weak GDP and flat services hit sterling, though GBP/USD holds 1.36. Markets expect BoE rate cuts while strong US jobs keep Fed steady—divergence points to downside below 1.35. – vtmarketsmy.com
After strong US labour data boosted the dollar, GBP/USD steadied near 1.3632 as sterling regained traction
Written on February 12, 2026 at 3:09 pm, by davin
GBP/USD rebounded to 1.3632 after US jobs boosted the dollar, pushing Fed cuts to July. Weak UK GDP lifts BoE cut bets. With 1.3600 holding, inflation data could spark a breakout. – vtmarketsmy.com
The dollar steadies near 153.00 against the yen as expectations for Fed easing fade
Written on February 12, 2026 at 3:09 pm, by davin
USD/JPY hovers near 153 as strong US jobs delay Fed cuts, but big revisions hint weakness. Meanwhile, Japan’s election and rising BoJ hike odds fuel yen strength—setting up downside. – vtmarketsmy.com
In January, Greece’s harmonised annual consumer inflation rate remained unchanged at 2.9%
Written on February 12, 2026 at 3:09 pm, by davin
Greece’s inflation stayed at 2.9% in January, signaling stubborn Eurozone price pressures. That weakens hopes for near-term ECB rate cuts, reshapes derivative bets, and may cap Athens equities. – vtmarketsmy.com
