Monthly Archives: February 2026
Greece’s year-on-year consumer price index rose to 2.5% in December, up from 2.4% previously.
Written on February 12, 2026 at 3:08 pm, by davin
Greece’s inflation just ticked up: CPI rose 2.5% in December, signaling sticky prices and “higher-for-longer” rates. That could lift bond yields, shake stocks, and boost volatility trading. – vtmarketsmy.com
Societe Generale’s Jan Groen says strong US jobs data led to upgraded 2026 growth forecasts and delayed rate cuts
Written on February 12, 2026 at 2:09 pm, by davin
Hot January jobs and sticky inflation are upending 2026 Fed-cut bets. Societe Generale boosts US growth outlook, sees just one June cut—or none until later—raising volatility and pressuring growth stocks. – vtmarketsmy.com
Yu says the NZD’s gains may stay capped because the RBNZ trails the RBA, and it isn’t an AUD proxy
Written on February 12, 2026 at 2:09 pm, by davin
Don’t treat NZD as AUD’s twin: RBA is hiking faster, while NZ growth weakens and inflation cools. Futures favor Australia, pushing AUD/NZD higher—making AUD outperformance and call options attractive. – vtmarketsmy.com
ING’s Pesole says weak UK growth in late 2025 keeps EUR/GBP bullish, with jobs and inflation data guiding BoE reactions
Written on February 12, 2026 at 2:09 pm, by davin
UK growth faltered late-2025, boosting expectations for Bank of England rate cuts in March and June. With ECB likely holding, ING targets EUR/GBP 0.88 via calls—watch jobs and inflation. – vtmarketsmy.com
USD/CAD hovers near 1.3600 at the nine-day EMA, but a descending channel keeps the bearish outlook intact
Written on February 12, 2026 at 2:09 pm, by davin
USD/CAD hovers near 1.3580 in a bearish descending channel. RSI stays weak. Watch 1.3500 support and 1.3607–1.3690 resistance. Hot US inflation vs strong CAD/oil could decide breakout. – vtmarketsmy.com
With mixed Fed signals, gold remains weak in Europe, holding above $5,050 near lows
Written on February 12, 2026 at 1:09 pm, by davin
Gold hovers above $5,050 after strong US jobs data slashed March rate-cut hopes. Now locked between $5,004 support and $5,144 resistance—Friday’s CPI could spark a decisive breakout or breakdown soon. – vtmarketsmy.com
OCBC strategists say the yen rose as Japanese bonds and shares rallied after elections, easing fiscal worries
Written on February 12, 2026 at 1:09 pm, by davin
Japan’s post-election yen rally eased fiscal fears and cut intervention risk as USD/JPY slipped near 151. Lower volatility may suit options sellers, but wide US-Japan rate gaps still cap yen upside. – vtmarketsmy.com
Stronger US jobs data keeps the dollar steady and highlights key forex developments to watch
Written on February 12, 2026 at 1:09 pm, by davin
Hot US jobs data keeps the dollar firm: January payrolls hit 130K, unemployment dipped, and CPI stayed elevated. Fed likely stays hawkish. UK weak, GBP vulnerable; yen, gold, Aussie move independently. – vtmarketsmy.com
UK preliminary GDP rose 0.1% quarter on quarter in Q4 2025, missing the 0.2% forecast and matching Q3 growth
Written on February 12, 2026 at 1:09 pm, by davin
UK GDP barely grew in Q4 2025, missing forecasts as factories slumped. Sterling dipped, and markets eye a March BoE rate cut. Expect choppy GBP moves with stubborn inflation. – vtmarketsmy.com
Standard Chartered says US payrolls rebounded unexpectedly, boosting expectations for a recovery in easing as job growth quickened and unemployment fell
Written on February 12, 2026 at 12:09 pm, by davin
Jobs shocker: January payrolls surged 303k, unemployment fell to 3.5%, signaling firmer 2026 labor momentum despite revisions. Fed cuts look unlikely soon; expect higher rates, volatility, and AI uncertainty. – vtmarketsmy.com
