Monthly Archives: February 2026
BNY’s Geoff Yu warns that crowded carry trades have left Brazilian assets overexposed after strong inflows in February 2026, increasing rebalancing risks
Written on February 26, 2026 at 5:10 am, by davin
Brazil’s BRL and IBOVESPA surged in February 2026 as high Selic yields pulled in heavy inflows—but positioning is crowded. Rebalancing could spark selloffs; consider hedges like IBOV puts or USD/BRL calls. – vtmarketsmy.com
GBP/JPY rose again as the yen weakened after Takaichi nominated dovish academics, trading near 212.00
Written on February 26, 2026 at 4:11 am, by davin
GBP/JPY jumps past 211 as yen weakens on dovish BoJ picks, but warning signs loom. Rising Japan inflation and UK recession may flip the trend; watch 212 resistance and 208 support. – vtmarketsmy.com
After hotter-than-expected January CPI, the Australian dollar rose to two-week highs, boosting expectations of an RBA rate hike
Written on February 26, 2026 at 4:11 am, by davin
Australian inflation surprise lifts AUD to two-week highs as the US dollar slips on trade worries. GBP steadies, yen weakens, gold jumps. Watch CPI/jobs data; option plays: AUD, DXY, gold. – vtmarketsmy.com
OCBC strategists see USD/CNY falling and watch the fix as RMB strength persists amid softer dollar sentiment
Written on February 26, 2026 at 4:10 am, by davin
USD/CNY slid post-holidays on weaker dollar and risk-on mood; traders watch PBoC daily fix for appreciation signals. Now policy tilts weaker yuan, risks snapback higher, targeting 7.02+. – vtmarketsmy.com
Musalem says inflation is nearly one point above the Fed’s goal as employment cools gradually and orderly
Written on February 26, 2026 at 4:10 am, by davin
Inflation remains near 2.6%, above the Fed’s 2% target, while jobs cool steadily. Musalem expects 2%+ growth and 4.3% unemployment, but Warsh’s hawkish Fed signals higher-for-longer volatility. – vtmarketsmy.com
Societe Generale says USD/ZAR is consolidating, but missing the 50-day average risks deeper losses below the range floor
Written on February 26, 2026 at 3:11 am, by davin
USD/ZAR is stuck in a range, but big moves loom: resistance sits at 16.25–16.40. A break below 15.63 targets 15.45–15.00, amid improving fiscal outlook and bearish options positioning. – vtmarketsmy.com
USD/CHF slips for a fourth session, trading near 0.7729 in a 0.7718–0.7757 range, above the 20-day SMA
Written on February 26, 2026 at 3:11 am, by davin
USD/CHF slides for a fourth day, consolidating in a bearish triangle. Watch 0.7650–0.7665: a break could reopen yearly lows. RSI stays weak; SNB-favored fundamentals keep rallies capped. – vtmarketsmy.com
XAG/USD climbs near $91 as easing tariff worries and supply shortages fuel safe-haven buying and a strong rebound
Written on February 26, 2026 at 3:11 am, by davin
Silver just surged back above $90 after a brutal 47% crash. Tight supplies, low inventories, and tariff-driven demand fuel gains, but potential Fed rate hikes threaten volatility—options may help manage risk. – vtmarketsmy.com
AUD rises over 0.80% against the US dollar as strong inflation boosts expectations of an RBA rate rise
Written on February 26, 2026 at 3:10 am, by davin
Aussie dollar jumps 0.8% as Australia’s inflation surprises higher, fueling rate-hike bets. RBA stays hawkish while Fed leans toward cuts, boosting AUD carry—watch key support/resistance and risk sentiment. – vtmarketsmy.com
Taborsky says Glapinski and Litwiniuk see inflation nearing target, allowing cuts; markets expect a 3.25% terminal rate
Written on February 26, 2026 at 2:11 am, by davin
Poland’s central bank hints March rate cuts are likely as inflation nears 2.5%, but strong wages may slow easing. Markets bet 3.25% vs NBP’s 3.50%, driving EUR/PLN volatility. – vtmarketsmy.com
