Monthly Archives: February 2026
US labour strength and USMCA withdrawal rumours lift USD/CAD, pushing the Canadian dollar towards 1.3612
Written on February 11, 2026 at 10:09 pm, by davin
USD/CAD rebounded near 1.3612 as unconfirmed USMCA withdrawal rumors hit the loonie. Strong US jobs boosted USD, while softer oil pressured CAD. With CPI ahead, options may capture volatility. – vtmarketsmy.com
U.S. EIA reports crude oil inventories rose by 8.53M, far exceeding forecasts of a 0.2M decline on February 6
Written on February 11, 2026 at 9:09 pm, by davin
Surprise oil glut: EIA reported an 8.53M-barrel crude stock build versus -0.2M expected. Rising US output and weak Europe PMIs signal oversupply, pressuring prices, contango, and volatility. – vtmarketsmy.com
Schmid said the Fed should keep policy restrictive with inflation near 3%, as rate cuts could prolong it
Written on February 11, 2026 at 9:09 pm, by davin
Inflation near 3% has Fed’s Schmid urging “higher for longer” rates. He sees strong demand, little economic restraint, and warns cuts could entrench inflation. Markets may overprice cuts, boosting volatility. – vtmarketsmy.com
Sterling rises against the dollar, then eases as strong US payrolls reduce the likelihood of Fed rate cuts
Written on February 11, 2026 at 9:09 pm, by davin
GBP/USD climbed then slipped after stronger US jobs data, reshaping Fed cut expectations. UK political stress and BoE split hint at cuts. With UK GDP and US CPI ahead, volatility and bearish option plays loom. – vtmarketsmy.com
USD/JPY falls to around 153.30 as post-election yen strength outweighs stronger-than-expected US jobs data
Written on February 11, 2026 at 9:08 pm, by davin
USD/JPY slips toward 153.30 as weak US revisions, cooler inflation, and a Fed pause undermine the dollar. Japan’s new leadership boosts yen hopes, fueling bets USD/JPY drops toward 150.00. – vtmarketsmy.com
Chefs’ Warehouse beat forecasts as Q4 EPS rose to $0.68, topping the $0.62 consensus and up from $0.55
Written on February 11, 2026 at 8:09 pm, by davin
Chefs’ Warehouse smashed Q4 forecasts, lifting the stock and setting up an options “IV crush” play. But weak industry trends and cautious guidance risk could quickly flip sentiment and estimates. – vtmarketsmy.com
Ahead of May, AUD/USD rises above 0.71 as hawkish RBA outlook and housing data boost rate-hike odds
Written on February 11, 2026 at 8:09 pm, by davin
Australia’s dollar hit 0.71 as sticky inflation keeps the RBA hawkish. Markets now price more rate hikes, boosted by strong housing demand. AUD/USD may gain as yields diverge from the US. – vtmarketsmy.com
Gold holds above $5,000 despite strong US jobs data, rebounding toward $5,070 after dipping to $5,018
Written on February 11, 2026 at 8:09 pm, by davin
Gold hovers above $5,000 after strong US jobs data lifted the dollar and challenged quick Fed cuts. Bollinger Bands tighten, signaling breakout risk. Central-bank buying supports dips; options volatility bets look attractive. – vtmarketsmy.com
Sterling recovered against the dollar but was rejected above 1.3700, retreating from weekly highs to around 1.3680
Written on February 11, 2026 at 8:08 pm, by davin
Pound slips from 1.3700 to 1.3680 as UK politics bites, but weak US data caps losses. With payrolls ahead and charts bullish, near-term GBP/USD calls could pay. – vtmarketsmy.com
Despite inflation briefly nearing 1%, Pesole expects the Riksbank to hold rates until 2026, supporting the krona
Written on February 11, 2026 at 7:09 pm, by davin
Think markets are right on Sweden rate cuts? ING says no: the Riksbank likely holds through 2026 despite a VAT-driven 1% inflation dip, unwinding 15bp easing bets and boosting SEK. – vtmarketsmy.com
