Monthly Archives: February 2026
After upbeat US employment data, EUR/USD briefly weakened as lower expectations for Fed rate cuts supported the dollar
Written on February 11, 2026 at 7:09 pm, by davin
EUR/USD slid as a hotter US jobs report boosted the dollar, but massive 2025 job revisions muddy the outlook. Fed holds support USD, ECB cuts may cap euro; volatility rises. – vtmarketsmy.com
London formed a balanced TPO value near the POC; New York’s retest will decide whether price migrates upward or rotates into a lower structure.
Written on February 11, 2026 at 7:09 pm, by davin
S&P 500 futures are coiling in a tight range: 6,979.50 above, 6,958 below, with value near 6,975. Watch NY open—hold breaks target 7,010 or 6,936.50. – vtmarketsmy.com
TD Securities expects the Bank of Canada’s deliberations summary to offer more nuanced guidance than January’s cautionary tone.
Written on February 11, 2026 at 7:09 pm, by davin
Bank of Canada minutes may turn less cautious, noting cooling growth into 2026 and downplaying headline CPI. Expect nuanced debate on next move; traders eye pivot bets, volatility, and rate-cut positioning. – vtmarketsmy.com
WTI trades near $65.15, up 1.53%, on Middle East supply worries despite rising US stockpiles
Written on February 11, 2026 at 6:09 pm, by davin
WTI climbed to $65.15 as Middle East tensions and US–Iran risks revived supply fears. But huge US inventory builds and surplus warnings cap gains. Traders eye options: buy calls, sell puts, hedge. – vtmarketsmy.com
Rabobank’s Jane Foley says political uncertainty under Starmer is restraining sterling; EUR/GBP stays near 0.8700; GBP is the weakest G10 currency over five days
Written on February 11, 2026 at 6:09 pm, by davin
UK politics and BoE cuts are dragging sterling. EUR/GBP hovers near 0.8700, with Rabobank eyeing 0.86–0.87 soon but up to 0.89 in 12 months. Options favor euro strength. – vtmarketsmy.com
US average hourly earnings grew 3.7% year on year in January, beating expectations of 3.6%
Written on February 11, 2026 at 6:09 pm, by davin
US wages jumped 3.7% in January, beating forecasts and reigniting inflation fears. Markets now see fewer Fed cuts, higher volatility, pressure on tech stocks, and a stronger dollar. – vtmarketsmy.com
In January, America’s jobless rate was 4.3%, slightly below the expected 4.4%
Written on February 11, 2026 at 6:08 pm, by davin
Unemployment dipped to 4.3%, beating forecasts and signaling a hotter economy. With inflation stuck at 3.1%, the Fed may keep rates higher longer—pushing yields up, delaying cuts, and boosting hedges. – vtmarketsmy.com
In January, US nonfarm payrolls rose by 130K, beating forecasts of 70K and boosting job growth
Written on February 11, 2026 at 5:09 pm, by davin
Payrolls surged 130,000 vs 70,000 expected—shaking markets. The Fed may delay cuts, lifting yields and the dollar. Prepare for stock pullbacks with puts, favor long volatility, short Treasuries. – vtmarketsmy.com
Canadian building permits rose 6.8% month on month in December, beating the 5% forecast.
Written on February 11, 2026 at 5:09 pm, by davin
Canada’s building permits jumped 6.8% in December, beating forecasts and signaling stronger momentum. Sticky inflation and firm oil reduce near-term BoC cuts—boosting CAD and enabling targeted options in FX, equities. – vtmarketsmy.com
MUFG’s Lee Hardman says the Australian dollar rose 6.5% against the US dollar, supported by the RBA’s hawkish tightening stance
Written on February 11, 2026 at 5:09 pm, by davin
Australian dollar jumps 6.5% as RBA stays tough on inflation. Markets now debate the next move—possible May hike or later cuts—boosting volatility and making AUD/USD options straddles attractive. – vtmarketsmy.com
