Monthly Archives: February 2026
ABN AMRO’s Quaedvlieg says a Warsh-led Fed may cut rates and adopt dovish guidance despite an upbeat outlook
Written on February 25, 2026 at 7:10 pm, by davin
ABN AMRO predicts 75bp Fed cuts to 3.00% by year-end, prioritizing jobs over inflation. A Warsh-led Fed may communicate less—boosting volatility. Traders: long SOFR, buy straddles, seek curve steepeners. – vtmarketsmy.com
Sterling rises broadly in European trading, except against antipodeans, up 0.23% near 1.3520 versus the dollar
Written on February 25, 2026 at 6:11 pm, by davin
Pound hits 1.3520 despite BoE hinting rate cuts—why? Investors await clarity as inflation cools and growth stalls. Volatility may spike; traders eye options before March’s pivotal meeting. – vtmarketsmy.com
HSBC expects USD/CAD to be capped as oil supports the Canadian dollar amid softer US trade rhetoric and dollar trends
Written on February 25, 2026 at 6:11 pm, by davin
Think USD/CAD can surge? HSBC sees loonie resilience: oil above $85 and narrowing rate gaps cap upside near 1.3550. Easing tariff fears and stable trade flows reinforce range-bound moves. – vtmarketsmy.com
Amid uncertainty over BoJ rate hikes, the yen falls broadly, slipping 0.6% to 156.80 against the USD
Written on February 25, 2026 at 6:11 pm, by davin
Yen slides as BOJ stays dovish under political pressure while US inflation revives hawkish Fed bets. USD/JPY surges toward 172.50. Traders eye April 175 calls, sell yen puts, hedge intervention. – vtmarketsmy.com
U.S. MBA mortgage applications fell to 0.4% from 2.8% in February 20, data show
Written on February 25, 2026 at 6:10 pm, by davin
Mortgage demand just cooled: MBA applications rose only 0.4% vs 2.8% last week, hinting higher rates are biting. Slower housing could push Fed dovish, boosting volatility and hedging strategies. – vtmarketsmy.com
BBH’s Elias Haddad says DXY should stay mid-range as rate spreads persist and fresh catalysts are lacking
Written on February 25, 2026 at 5:11 pm, by davin
Dollar stuck in a 96–100 DXY range as Fed stays patient and volatility fades—ideal for range trades and option selling. But fiscal, policy, and credibility worries point to a longer-term dollar breakdown. – vtmarketsmy.com
Rabobank’s Jane Foley says reflationist BoJ nominees unsettle the yen and bonds, but policy direction stays steady
Written on February 25, 2026 at 5:11 pm, by davin
BoJ shake-up sparks yen jitters: PM Takaichi taps reflationist professors Sato and Asada, briefly lifting USD/JPY and JGBs. But policy shift looks minor; March hike unlikely, yen strength still favored. – vtmarketsmy.com
Ahead of US-Iran nuclear talks and India’s Q4 GDP release, the rupee remains steady against the dollar
Written on February 25, 2026 at 5:11 pm, by davin
Rupee stalls near 91 as US-Iran talks and India GDP stir nerves. Firm oil and hawkish Fed buoy the dollar. Volatility jumps; traders eye call spreads or straddles targeting 92. – vtmarketsmy.com
Amid US-Iran tensions and trade uncertainty, XAU/USD is up 0.6% and hovering near $5,200 in Europe
Written on February 25, 2026 at 5:10 pm, by davin
Gold jumps near $5,200 as US-Iran tensions and shifting US tariffs spark safe-haven buying. Central banks keep accumulating. Technicals stay bullish above $5,010, with traders eyeing $5,240–$5,380. – vtmarketsmy.com
EUR/JPY rises toward 184.60 as the yen stays weak amid uncertainty over the pace of Japan’s policy normalisation
Written on February 25, 2026 at 4:11 pm, by davin
EUR/JPY nears 184.60 as the Yen slides on BoJ hesitation and political pressure. ECB steadies the Euro, boosting carry-trade appeal. Traders favor long positions or call options, hedged against shocks. – vtmarketsmy.com
