Monthly Archives: February 2026
BBH’s Elias Haddad says NZD/USD holds below 0.6000 as Q4 retail volumes beat forecasts on stronger discretionary spending
Written on February 23, 2026 at 5:11 pm, by davin
NZD/USD holds below 0.6000 despite upbeat NZ retail sales. Markets bet on rate hikes, but the RBNZ signals none. Low volatility persists, favoring selling out-of-the-money calls above 0.6050. – vtmarketsmy.com
From an Elliott Wave perspective, MAGS may correct its cycle from the April 2025 low, tracking seven tech giants
Written on February 23, 2026 at 5:11 pm, by davin
MAGS tracks seven mega-cap tech giants equally. After a big 2025 rally, Elliott Wave signals a choppy correction. With volatility rising, expect downside tests—unless $39 holds, then bulls regain control. – vtmarketsmy.com
TD Securities reports that US Q4 growth cooled to 1.4% as government spending weakened and core GDP slowed
Written on February 23, 2026 at 5:10 pm, by davin
US growth cooled: Q4 GDP slowed to 1.4% as government spending plunged after shutdowns. Consumers softened, inflation stayed sticky, and markets now bet on Fed cuts by June 2026. – vtmarketsmy.com
During the European session, USD/JPY nearly erased earlier losses and hovered slightly lower near 154.85 as investors refocused
Written on February 23, 2026 at 5:10 pm, by davin
USD/JPY’s “dip” was a fake-out: courts questioned Trump tariffs, but policy stayed firm. Hot US inflation and soft Japan CPI widen rate gaps, boosting dollar strength and option volatility trading. – vtmarketsmy.com
US trade policy uncertainty drives volatility, keeping AUD/USD near 0.7080 after an earlier Asian session climb above 0.7100
Written on February 23, 2026 at 4:11 pm, by davin
AUD/USD slips near 0.7080 as tariff uncertainty and risk-off flows hit the Aussie. Fed policy is shifting toward hikes, RBA turning cautious; watch volatility, commodities, and consider options. – vtmarketsmy.com
During European trading, the Dollar Index briefly rebounded toward 97.40 after recovering losses, but the outlook remains uncertain
Written on February 23, 2026 at 4:11 pm, by davin
Dollar rebounds after court blocks Trump tariffs, then new duties spark uncertainty. Weak US data adds pressure. With volatility cheap, traders may hedge via options like straddles ahead of Fed speeches. – vtmarketsmy.com
HSBC Asset Management says falling 10-year Treasury yields signal stronger data amid risk-asset stress, boosting safe-haven demand
Written on February 23, 2026 at 4:11 pm, by davin
Treasury yields are falling despite strong data—an unusual warning sign. HSBC cites risk-asset stress, inflation, tariffs and debt. With stock-bond hedging broken, consider options: SOFR, Treasury futures, VIX calls. – vtmarketsmy.com
This week, traders will watch major firms’ earnings reports for new insight into global economic health
Written on February 23, 2026 at 4:10 pm, by davin
Big earnings week: Alibaba, Home Depot, Nvidia, and Salesforce. Watch guidance, capex, and demand. Cloud and AI shine, but margins and macro risks loom—options volatility signals potential major swings. – vtmarketsmy.com
OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong says sticky inflation and activity support sterling, but a by-election risk is boosting volatility
Written on February 23, 2026 at 3:11 pm, by davin
Sticky UK inflation and resilient growth support the Pound, limiting Bank of England rate-cut bets. But a February by-election and March 11 Budget may spark GBP volatility—watch EUR/GBP drift lower after. – vtmarketsmy.com
USD/INR rises near 91.00 as the rupee retreats despite a weaker dollar and trade-policy uncertainty
Written on February 23, 2026 at 3:11 pm, by davin
Rupee slips as USD/INR nears 91 after tariff ruling shakes markets. But 2026 flips: Fed’s high rates boost dollar near 93.5, while strong India inflows and RBI cap volatility. – vtmarketsmy.com
