Monthly Archives: February 2026
During the European session, EUR/USD trims gains but holds above 1.1800, unfazed by Germany’s February IFO survey
Written on February 23, 2026 at 3:11 pm, by davin
EUR/USD edges higher above 1.1800 as traders sell the dollar. Fed rate-cut bets and US-EU trade tensions outweigh mixed German IFO data, but euro weakness may cap gains. – vtmarketsmy.com
MUFG’s Derek Halpenny says foreign demand capped super-long JGB yields, easing instability and supporting the yen
Written on February 23, 2026 at 3:10 pm, by davin
Japan’s super-long bond yields eased after January’s spike as foreigners bought JGBs. IMF urges fiscal discipline. With BoJ now paused, widening US-Japan rate gaps favor carry trades and selling USD/JPY volatility. – vtmarketsmy.com
Germany’s Ifo business climate rises to 88.6 in February, beating forecasts and up from 87.6 in January
Written on February 23, 2026 at 2:11 pm, by davin
Germany’s IFO beat forecasts, signaling improving confidence despite recession risks. EUR/USD barely moved, but the data-versus-ECB-cut narrative may spark volatility—making options plays like straddles, calls, or puts attractive. – vtmarketsmy.com
In January, Italy’s year-on-year consumer price index matched expectations and held steady at 1%
Written on February 23, 2026 at 2:11 pm, by davin
Italy’s inflation held at 1% in January, exactly as expected—no surprise. That calm could lower volatility, support bonds and stocks, keep ECB rates low, and weigh on the euro. – vtmarketsmy.com
In January, Italy’s EU-harmonised annual consumer price inflation met forecasts and held steady at 1%
Written on February 23, 2026 at 2:11 pm, by davin
Italy’s EU-harmonised inflation hit a calm 1% in January, easing ECB pressure. Expect steady or lower rates, equity support, potential EUR weakness versus USD—opening opportunities in rate volatility, index calls, euro puts. – vtmarketsmy.com
In January, Italy’s EU-standard monthly CPI met expectations, with prices falling 1%
Written on February 23, 2026 at 2:10 pm, by davin
Italy’s inflation gauge slid 1% in January—exactly as expected. That steadiness signals easing Eurozone price pressures, less ECB hawkishness, and potential euro weakness versus the dollar; watch France/Germany. – vtmarketsmy.com
Germany’s IFO expectations index matched forecasts at 90.5 in February, signalling a steady business outlook
Written on February 23, 2026 at 1:11 pm, by davin
Germany’s Ifo expectations hit 90.5 in February, matching forecasts—no surprise, no lift. It signals stagnation, boosts ECB cut odds, favors long Bunds, caps DAX upside, and pressures EUR/USD. – vtmarketsmy.com
In February, Germany’s IFO current assessment rose to 86.7, beating forecasts of 86.1
Written on February 23, 2026 at 1:11 pm, by davin
Germany’s Ifo assessment beat forecasts at 86.7, hinting the slump may be easing. That could lift the DAX and euro, limit ECB cuts, but one month isn’t a trend. – vtmarketsmy.com
After three rising sessions, EUR/JPY holds near 182.70 and challenges the 50-day EMA around 183.00
Written on February 23, 2026 at 1:11 pm, by davin
EUR/JPY pauses near 182.70 after a three-day climb, squeezed between 9-day support and 50-day resistance. Break above 182.80 targets 186.88; slip below 182.62 risks 177.80/175.70, volatility. – vtmarketsmy.com
Ethan Currie says Supreme Court scrapped IEEPA tariffs and cut average rates, though the White House can still raise tariffs
Written on February 23, 2026 at 1:10 pm, by davin
Court slams IEEPA tariffs, halving effective rates—but markets may not relax. Watch Section 232 uncapped levies, sector winners/losers, spiking VIX, and FX swings hitting electronics, machinery, semis, autos. – vtmarketsmy.com
