Monthly Archives: February 2026
Investors reassess US trade policy and Iran tensions, leaving the dollar weaker as 15% import surcharge concerns grow
Written on February 23, 2026 at 12:11 pm, by davin
Trade shocks aren’t over: 2025’s 15% import surcharge widened the $65B deficit, lifting DXY above 103. Stay nimble—use dollar and Treasury options, plus VIX calls, hedging geopolitical volatility. – vtmarketsmy.com
As long as USD/CAD stays below 1.3700 and the H4 200-SMA, bears remain in control, with price hovering around 1.3645 support
Written on February 23, 2026 at 12:11 pm, by davin
USD/CAD stalls near 1.3645, capped under 1.3700. Softer USD from 15% tariffs battles weaker CAD from slipping oil. Bearish double-top signals downside; higher Canadian rates and firm crude favor further losses. – vtmarketsmy.com
Bob Savage of BNY expects Israeli and Hungarian rate cuts as easing inflation keeps currencies elevated and firm
Written on February 23, 2026 at 12:11 pm, by davin
Strong currencies are forcing central banks’ hands: BNY sees rate cuts in Israel and Hungary as inflation cools. Israel’s cut looks steady; Hungary’s path may surprise, creating volatility and trades. – vtmarketsmy.com
Silver holds early gains near $86.50 amid revived trade doubts after a US Supreme Court setback on tariffs
Written on February 23, 2026 at 12:10 pm, by davin
Silver jumped to $86.50 on tariff-policy uncertainty after a Supreme Court block, weakening the dollar and boosting safe-haven demand. In 2026, prices are calmer, driven by industrial solar/EV demand. – vtmarketsmy.com
Deutsche Bank says Brent retreats as US–Iran tensions ease, while tariff and geopolitical fears unwind weekend premiums and fuel volatility
Written on February 23, 2026 at 11:11 am, by davin
Oil markets on edge: Brent slips to $70.85 after a two-day surge as weekend risk premium fades. But US–Iran strike fears, rising volatility, and Hormuz disruption risk could trigger sudden spikes. – vtmarketsmy.com
Switzerland’s producer and import prices fell 2.2% year on year, down from 1.8% previously
Written on February 23, 2026 at 11:11 am, by davin
Swiss producer/import prices fell 2.2% in January—deflation is deepening. Weak growth and low inflation raise March SNB rate-cut odds, pressuring CHF, boosting SMI exporters, and favoring EUR/CHF and SARON trades. – vtmarketsmy.com
Swiss producer and import prices fell 0.2% month on month in January, missing the forecast 0.1% rise
Written on February 23, 2026 at 11:11 am, by davin
Swiss producer/import prices unexpectedly fell 0.2% in January, signaling faster cooling inflation. That could push the SNB toward earlier rate cuts—potentially weakening CHF—creating opportunities in EUR/CHF, SARON futures, and Swiss equity calls. – vtmarketsmy.com
With Nvidia earnings approaching, the Magnificent Seven and software shares face pessimism as they lag broader markets badly
Written on February 23, 2026 at 11:10 am, by davin
Tech stocks wobble as AI spending soars and threatens software. Amazon’s $200B 2026 capex alarms investors. Nvidia’s Feb. 25 earnings loom, fueling 120% option volatility and hedging. – vtmarketsmy.com
During European trading, GBP/JPY slips toward 208.80 as court tariff ruling boosts safe-haven demand for the yen
Written on February 23, 2026 at 10:11 am, by davin
GBP/JPY slipped to 208.80 as Yen demand jumped after a US Supreme Court tariff ruling and possible BoJ hike bets. Strong UK sales/PMI supported Pound, but bearish charts hint lower. – vtmarketsmy.com
WTI trades near $65.70, slipping below $66 as US-Iran negotiations are expected to restart soon
Written on February 23, 2026 at 10:11 am, by davin
Oil prices swing as US-Iran talks and inventory data loom. Supply risks near Hormuz clash with weak demand and tariffs, boosting volatility—creating options opportunities via calls, puts, and straddles. – vtmarketsmy.com
