Monthly Archives: February 2026
UOB expects Bank Negara Malaysia to hold the OPR until 2026 as inflation stays stable and pressures remain contained
Written on February 21, 2026 at 6:11 am, by davin
Malaysia inflation held at 1.6% as growth stayed solid, so Bank Negara likely keeps OPR at 2.75% through 2026. Expect calmer rates, FX divergence risk, and option opportunities. – vtmarketsmy.com
DBS’s Radhika Rao says BSP cut rates to 4.25% as recovery, confidence and spending weaken
Written on February 21, 2026 at 6:10 am, by davin
BSP slashed rates to 4.25% as growth weakens and spending delays persist. Forecasts fell, inflation rose. Expect more easing, added liquidity, and a softer peso—potentially pushing USD/PHP toward 57.00. – vtmarketsmy.com
AUD/USD rises for a second day as a weaker dollar and rising inflation push it toward 0.7100 highs
Written on February 21, 2026 at 6:10 am, by davin
AUD/USD climbed toward 0.7100 as the dollar weakened, but 2026 shows a calmer, range-bound market near 0.6650. Watch 0.7147 resistance, 0.7000 support; options-selling strategies may shine. – vtmarketsmy.com
Gold rises above $5,060 as slowing US growth and hotter core PCE inflation put pressure on the dollar
Written on February 21, 2026 at 5:11 am, by davin
Gold jumped above $5,000 as US growth slowed, inflation stayed hot, and the dollar weakened. Tariff uncertainty and geopolitical risks add fuel. Watch yields, jobs, and PPI for gold’s next move. – vtmarketsmy.com
MUFG’s Lloyd Chan says BI maintains 2026 forecasts; inflation risks could weaken the rupiah if overheating is tolerated
Written on February 21, 2026 at 5:11 am, by davin
Indonesia’s inflation just breached target, bond auction demand is weakening, and yields may rise. That combo threatens the rupiah: USD/IDR could climb despite modest SRBI inflows, tightening Bank Indonesia’s options. – vtmarketsmy.com
With PCE inflation rising and GDP weakening, the US dollar stayed firm as the DXY rose nearly 1%
Written on February 21, 2026 at 5:11 am, by davin
Markets brace for a volatility breakout: hot 3% core PCE clashes with weak 1.4% GDP, stalling DXY near 97.80. Watch options, EUR/GBP, gold, yen, and key data. – vtmarketsmy.com
US CFTC gold non-commercial net positions slipped marginally, easing from 160k to 159.9k
Written on February 21, 2026 at 5:10 am, by davin
Gold speculators just stopped moving: CFTC net longs barely dipped from 160K to 159.9K. With inflation sticky and jobs strong, traders await Fed signals—calm positioning could precede volatility. – vtmarketsmy.com
US CFTC oil non-commercial net positions rose to 141.3K from 117.8K
Written on February 21, 2026 at 4:11 am, by davin
Big oil bulls are back: CFTC net-long crude bets jumped to 141.3K from 117.8K. With OPEC+ cuts and falling U.S. inventories, traders eye calls and 5–10% upside. – vtmarketsmy.com
Australian CFTC data shows AUD non-commercial net positions rose to 45.9K from 33.2K previously
Written on February 21, 2026 at 4:11 am, by davin
Speculators are piling into the Aussie dollar: net longs surged to 45.9K from 33.2K. Steady RBA rates, softer Fed outlook, and strong iron ore support AUD—watch inflation and risk swings. – vtmarketsmy.com
Eurozone CFTC data show euro non-commercial net positions fell to 174.5K from 180.3K
Written on February 21, 2026 at 4:10 am, by davin
Euro bulls are backing off: CFTC net longs fell to €174.5K from €180.3K as PMI weakens and US inflation stays hot. Consider EUR/USD puts or call spreads ahead. – vtmarketsmy.com