Monthly Archives: February 2026
Japan’s CFTC non-commercial yen net positions rose to ¥13K, reversing from ¥-19.1K previously
Written on February 21, 2026 at 4:10 am, by davin
Yen sentiment just flipped hard: CFTC specs went from ¥19.1K net short to ¥13K net long. BOJ hints and hot inflation drive yen strength, pushing USD/JPY lower. – vtmarketsmy.com
UK CFTC report: GBP non-commercial net positions fell to -42.4K from -25.8K
Written on February 21, 2026 at 3:11 am, by davin
Speculators just ramped up bearish GBP bets: CFTC net shorts widened to -42.4K. UK recession and easing inflation boost BoE cut odds, while strong US jobs support USD, pressuring GBP. – vtmarketsmy.com
CFTC report shows S&P 500 non-commercial net positions fell to -177.8K from -105.1K
Written on February 21, 2026 at 3:11 am, by davin
Big speculators just ramped up S&P 500 shorts: net positions fell from -105.1K to -177.8K (-72.7K). Bears expect more downside, but extreme negativity could spark a sharp short-squeeze reversal. – vtmarketsmy.com
UOB expects Thailand’s central bank to make a final 25-basis-point cut as growth slows and inflation remains subdued
Written on February 21, 2026 at 3:10 am, by davin
Thailand faces weak growth and near-zero inflation. Markets expect the Bank of Thailand to cut rates to 1.00% on Feb 25, pressuring the baht and shifting traders from direction to stability. – vtmarketsmy.com
Trump criticised Supreme Court justices and promised a 10% global tariff under an alternative law, citing trade powers
Written on February 21, 2026 at 3:10 am, by davin
Supreme Court blocks Trump’s broad tariffs; he vows a new law for a 10% global tariff atop existing duties. Markets brace: VIX spikes, stocks risk drops, dollar and gold may rise. – vtmarketsmy.com
DBS economist Chua Han Teng expects Singapore’s inflation to hit 1.5% year on year in January 2026, led by services
Written on February 21, 2026 at 2:11 am, by davin
Singapore’s inflation and factory output are heating up fast: January core inflation 1.6% and production +21.5%, fueled by AI chip demand—boosting SGD, tech stocks, volatility plays, and pushing bond yields higher. – vtmarketsmy.com
After the Supreme Court ruled his security tariffs unlawful, President Trump vowed even harsher tariffs at a press conference
Written on February 21, 2026 at 2:11 am, by davin
Supreme Court struck down Trump’s “national security” tariffs, but he vows new levies via Section 301. Markets face uncertainty, higher VIX, inflation risks, retaliation, and volatility-focused options strategies. – vtmarketsmy.com
ING’s Min Joo Kang expects the Bank of Korea to hold rates at 2.5% as inflation stays contained and financial stability concerns persist
Written on February 21, 2026 at 2:11 am, by davin
Will the Bank of Korea stay on hold? ING expects 2.5% rates next week, inflation near 2%, and no hike hints—keeping won range-bound, equities supported, volatility low. – vtmarketsmy.com
Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan says inflation risks persist and policy is ready to address uncertainties around the Fed’s mandate
Written on February 21, 2026 at 2:10 am, by davin
Fed’s Logan warns uncertainty is rising—especially in tech and tariffs. Inflation may not hit 2%, jobs stay strong, and risks remain. Expect higher volatility and “higher for longer” rates; consider hedges. – vtmarketsmy.com
MUFG analysts expect India’s fourth-quarter GDP growth to slow due to weaker exports, while domestic demand remains resilient
Written on February 21, 2026 at 1:11 am, by davin
India’s growth is cooling as exports weaken, pressuring the Rupee amid PE/VC outflows, soft FII demand, and AI fears for IT. Expect USD/INR toward 93, after March. – vtmarketsmy.com