Monthly Archives: February 2026
Fourth-quarter US annualised GDP rose 1.4%, well short of the 3% growth forecast
Written on February 20, 2026 at 6:10 pm, by davin
US Q4 GDP grew just 1.4%, missing 3% forecasts—signaling faster slowdown. Markets now expect earlier Fed rate cuts, higher volatility, falling yields, and a weaker dollar. – vtmarketsmy.com
US annual PCE price index beats December forecast, rising to 2.9%
Written on February 20, 2026 at 5:11 pm, by davin
US PCE inflation hit 2.9% in December, topping forecasts and signaling stickier prices. Markets now expect fewer early-2026 Fed cuts, higher yields, rising volatility, and a stronger dollar. – vtmarketsmy.com
US monthly PCE price index beats forecasts, rising 0.4% vs 0.3% expected in December
Written on February 20, 2026 at 5:11 pm, by davin
Hot inflation surprise: December PCE rose 0.4% vs 0.3% forecast, hinting stubborn price pressures. Markets now expect fewer 2026 rate cuts, boosting dollar strength while raising volatility risk for tech. – vtmarketsmy.com
US personal spending rose 0.4% in December, in line with economists’ forecasts
Written on February 20, 2026 at 5:11 pm, by davin
US consumers kept spending steady in December, up 0.4% as expected—calming markets, supporting a patient Fed, lowering volatility, shifting focus to inflation, and signaling risk as savings drop. – vtmarketsmy.com
In December, US core PCE inflation rose 0.4% month on month, beating the 0.3% forecast
Written on February 20, 2026 at 5:10 pm, by davin
Core PCE rose 0.4% in December, beating forecasts and signaling sticky inflation. Markets now expect fewer 2026 Fed rate cuts, boosting Treasury volatility and favoring swing-focused options strategies. – vtmarketsmy.com
In December, US personal income rose 0.3% month on month, in line with economists’ expectations
Written on February 20, 2026 at 4:11 pm, by davin
US personal income rose 0.3% in December, matching forecasts—no shock, less fear. With the Fed staying patient and VIX near 14, expect calmer markets, premium-selling setups, and steady consumer spending. – vtmarketsmy.com
US core PCE inflation rose to 3% year on year in December, exceeding the 2.9% forecast
Written on February 20, 2026 at 4:11 pm, by davin
US core PCE hit 3% vs 2.9% expected, stoking “higher for longer” fears. Fading March rate-cut odds are boosting dollar strength, lifting VIX, and driving volatility in SOFR options. – vtmarketsmy.com
The preliminary US February S&P Global PMI data will be released at 14:45 GMT, potentially affecting EUR/USD volatility
Written on February 20, 2026 at 4:10 pm, by davin
Friday’s US flash PMI could boost the dollar: services and manufacturing are expected to rise. EUR/USD broke 1.1766 support; below the 20-day EMA, traders eye 1.1670 and bearish options. – vtmarketsmy.com
Buoyant UK sales and PMI lift sterling, pushing EUR/GBP lower despite stronger Eurozone PMI support
Written on February 20, 2026 at 4:10 pm, by davin
EUR/GBP slipped as booming UK retail sales and strong PMIs lifted Sterling, while Eurozone data failed to inspire. Despite a weekly rise, traders may target 0.8550 via puts. – vtmarketsmy.com
Commerzbank’s Baur says Australia’s strong jobs and 4.1% unemployment are tempered by weak wage growth, limiting AUD gains
Written on February 20, 2026 at 3:11 pm, by davin
Australia adds 17,800 jobs and holds 4.1% unemployment, backing an RBA hike. But wages match inflation, limiting real gains. Commerzbank sees one more hike, capping AUD upside. – vtmarketsmy.com
