Monthly Archives: February 2026
With Japan’s CPI due, traders keep USD/JPY near 155.00 as the yen stays range-bound
Written on February 20, 2026 at 1:10 am, by davin
USD/JPY hovers near 155, supported by strong US data and hawkish Fed minutes ahead of Japan CPI. BoJ’s slow hikes keep yen weak, fueling 160+ upside—watch intervention risk. – vtmarketsmy.com
US EIA reports crude oil inventories fell by 9.014 million, versus forecasts for a 2.1 million rise
Written on February 20, 2026 at 12:11 am, by davin
Crude inventories plunged 9 million barrels versus a 2 million build expected—an eye-opening bullish shock. Higher refinery runs, strong exports, and upbeat jobs data signal tighter oil supplies and rising WTI/Brent prices. – vtmarketsmy.com
The Dow fell 300 points (0.59%) amid Iran tensions, hawkish Fed messaging, and weak Walmart guidance
Written on February 20, 2026 at 12:11 am, by davin
Stocks slipped as Fed minutes signaled “higher for longer,” delaying rate cuts. Strong jobless claims and upcoming GDP/PCE could spark volatility. Oil and gold jumped on Iran risks; sector and credit cracks emerged. – vtmarketsmy.com
Commerzbank says divisions in Poland’s coalition keep political risk elevated, and the zloty continues to lag despite reassurances
Written on February 20, 2026 at 12:10 am, by davin
Poland’s coalition infighting is back—and markets notice. Despite Tusk’s stability claims, the zloty lags peers as EUR/PLN hits 4.42. Rising option volatility signals turbulence; consider hedges and volatility trades. – vtmarketsmy.com
WTI hits a six-month high as rising US-Iran tensions fuel fears of Middle East supply disruptions
Written on February 20, 2026 at 12:10 am, by davin
Oil just hit a six-month high near $66 as US-Iran tensions fuel supply fears at Hormuz. Volatility is soaring; traders eye $70 or a drop below $62, using options. – vtmarketsmy.com
Kashkari calls crypto “utterly useless” and expects resilient jobs and AI-led productivity gains soon
Written on February 19, 2026 at 11:11 pm, by davin
Resilient US jobs and firm wages hint fewer 2026 rate cuts, keeping yields high. Kashkari defends Fed independence, touts AI productivity, slams crypto—shaping trades in bonds, tech volatility, and bearish crypto plays. – vtmarketsmy.com
The US EIA reported that natural gas storage fell by 144B, exceeding expectations for a 146B drop
Written on February 19, 2026 at 11:11 pm, by davin
Surprise EIA gas draw: -144 Bcf vs -146 forecast signals weaker demand and bearish prices. With inventories 15% above average and record output, traders eye shorts—unless a sudden arctic blast shocks. – vtmarketsmy.com
In February, eurozone consumer confidence fell to -12.2, below the -11.8 forecast, disappointing economists
Written on February 19, 2026 at 11:10 pm, by davin
Eurozone confidence sank to -12.2, missing forecasts and signaling a gloomier outlook. With spending already slipping, stocks may stall and the euro weaken—consider put options on Euro indices and EUR/USD. – vtmarketsmy.com
Rabobank’s Michael Every says America’s maritime action plan shifts trade from rules-based free trade to bloc-based neomercantilism
Written on February 19, 2026 at 11:10 pm, by davin
US Maritime Action Plan may end free-trade norms, targeting China’s shipbuilding dominance. Expect bloc warfare, higher freight costs, inflation pressure, and volatility; traders eye VIX calls, shipping bets, SOFR futures, and yuan risk. – vtmarketsmy.com
US pending home sales fell 0.4% year on year in January, improving from a 3% decline
Written on February 19, 2026 at 10:11 pm, by davin
Pending home sales barely dipped 0.4% in January, beating forecasts. Housing resilience plus strong jobs may delay Fed cuts, lift builders and stocks, but sticky inflation keeps markets jumpy. – vtmarketsmy.com
