Monthly Archives: February 2026
Gold holds near $4,985 in early Asian trade as rising US–Iran tensions boost safe-haven demand
Written on February 19, 2026 at 5:11 am, by davin
Gold hovers near $5,000 as Iran tensions revive safe-haven demand. Thin holiday trading boosts bargain buying. Watch Fed tone, dollar, and US data—volatility ahead, with options strategies favored. – vtmarketsmy.com
After UK employment data showed the labour market weakening faster, sterling fell further and expectations of a BoE cut rose
Written on February 19, 2026 at 5:10 am, by davin
Pound slides as UK jobs weaken and rate-cut bets surge. Key EMAs and levels guide next moves. Now, improved UK data but strong US growth keeps GBP/USD capped; consider downside options. – vtmarketsmy.com
USD/JPY rebounds as weak Japan GDP limits yen gains amid persistent BoJ rate-hike expectations
Written on February 19, 2026 at 4:11 am, by davin
USD/JPY rebounded as the Yen rally paused, but 155.30 resistance is the battleground. Hotter core CPI supports an April BoJ hike, favoring Yen strength unless 155.30 breaks. – vtmarketsmy.com
AUD/NZD climbed to new peaks as a dovish RBNZ pause hit the NZD, while RBA hawkishness boosted the AUD
Written on February 19, 2026 at 4:11 am, by davin
AUD/NZD hit a 12.5-year high near 1.1807 as dovish RBNZ fueled NZD selling while hawkish RBA and strong Aussie jobs supported AUD. Overbought now, but dips may target 1.1900. – vtmarketsmy.com
AUD/JPY rises 0.4% as hawkish RBA boosts the Australian dollar, widening the policy gap with the BoJ
Written on February 19, 2026 at 4:11 am, by davin
AUD/JPY jumps 0.4% as hawkish RBA minutes boost the Aussie while Japan stays cautious. Watch Australia jobs and Japan CPI. Uptrend holds; rates gap favors upside, options trades target 116. – vtmarketsmy.com
NZD/USD falls as RBNZ keeps OCR unchanged and uses a cautious tone to curb rate-hike expectations
Written on February 19, 2026 at 4:10 am, by davin
RBNZ shocked markets by holding rates at 2.25% and pushing hikes to 2026–27, sending NZD below 0.6000. Watch key data, Fed speakers, and support near 0.5907. – vtmarketsmy.com
U.S. API weekly crude oil stocks fell by 0.609 million, reversing the prior week’s 13.4 million rise
Written on February 19, 2026 at 3:11 am, by davin
Oil traders, take note: API reports US crude stocks fell 0.609M barrels after a 13.4M surge. Polar vortex demand and higher refinery runs tighten supply, boosting volatility and prices. – vtmarketsmy.com
Yu says global portfolios now hold Latin American sovereign debt at multi-year highs, above 2023 peaks
Written on February 19, 2026 at 3:11 am, by davin
Latin American sovereign bonds are crowded, with holdings near 1.2% and above 2023 highs. As U.S. yields rise, easy gains fade—hedge via puts and FX options; shifts hinge on fundamentals. – vtmarketsmy.com
U.S. net long-term TIC flows fell to $28B in December, down from $220.2B previously, reflecting reduced inflows
Written on February 19, 2026 at 3:11 am, by davin
Foreign buying of long-term US securities collapsed to $28bn from $220bn—a red flag for the dollar. Expect higher Treasury yields, volatility, and equity pullback risk; consider hedges: short USD, bond puts, VIX calls. – vtmarketsmy.com
U.S. total net TIC flows fell to $44.9bn from $212bn previously, according to December data
Written on February 19, 2026 at 3:10 am, by davin
Foreign demand for U.S. assets plunged: net TIC inflows fell to $44.9bn in December from $212bn. That warning could weaken the dollar, push Treasury yields higher, and spark volatility hedging. – vtmarketsmy.com