Monthly Archives: February 2026
Holiday-thinned trading lifts the US dollar, pressuring gold and leaving XAU/USD down 2.5% near two-week lows
Written on February 17, 2026 at 11:09 pm, by davin
Gold slid 2.5% near two-week lows as thin holiday trading, a stronger dollar, and rising yields weighed. Watch $4,900 support. Options: puts for downside; calls hedge geopolitical spikes. – vtmarketsmy.com
Rabobank’s Jane Foley says Norway’s CPI surprise may disrupt Norges Bank easing, prompting markets to expect a pause
Written on February 17, 2026 at 11:09 pm, by davin
Norway’s inflation shock flipped rate-cut bets into an extended Norges Bank pause at 4.50%, boosting the krone to top G10 gains. Rabobank targets EUR/NOK 11.00; traders eye puts, premium-selling. – vtmarketsmy.com
In February, the US NAHB housing market index fell to 36, below the 38 forecast
Written on February 17, 2026 at 11:09 pm, by davin
US housing sentiment slipped: NAHB index hit 36 vs 38 expected, far below neutral 50. Weak housing may push the Fed dovish, shaking stocks, dollar, and making rate-hedge trades timely. – vtmarketsmy.com
Johnson Controls is expected to rise toward 151.50, then correct, as it delivers building systems worldwide
Written on February 17, 2026 at 10:09 pm, by davin
JCI may have one more bullish surge left: Elliott Wave signals a push toward $151.52 if price stays above the Jan 6, 2026 low, before a bigger corrective dip offers value. – vtmarketsmy.com
After softer Canadian inflation, the Canadian dollar slips as USD/CAD rises for a fifth straight session
Written on February 17, 2026 at 10:09 pm, by davin
USD/CAD hits a five-day rally near 1.3676 as soft Canadian CPI and falling oil sink the loonie. Meanwhile, a stronger US dollar and key Fed data loom, boosting volatility. – vtmarketsmy.com
On Tuesday, XAG/USD slides near $73.70 as rate-cut optimism fades, pressured by geopolitical worries and inflation data
Written on February 17, 2026 at 10:09 pm, by davin
Silver just slid 3.5% to $73.70—why? Cooler inflation wasn’t enough to spark Fed rate-cut hopes. With volatility rising before FOMC minutes, resistance holds, favoring range trades or weakness. – vtmarketsmy.com
Amazon resumes its decline after completing a wave four rebound, entering wave five toward Fibonacci downside targets
Written on February 17, 2026 at 10:09 pm, by davin
AMZN’s bounce looks like a wave-4 correction—now wave 5 is driving a fresh selloff. Targets: 192.96 then 187.17. Weak retail sales, rising put/call, and AWS pressure favor bearish options. – vtmarketsmy.com
Commerzbank’s Carsten Fritsch says oil prices are rising as US–Iran tensions increase and OPEC+ supply expectations shift
Written on February 17, 2026 at 9:09 pm, by davin
Oil is rising as Iran tensions and OPEC+ supply limits keep a price floor. April output hikes may disappoint, while Russia exports weaken. Traders eye call buys or put-selling strategies. – vtmarketsmy.com
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee says services inflation remains high, but further 2026 interest-rate cuts are still possible
Written on February 17, 2026 at 9:09 pm, by davin
Fed’s Goolsbee warns services inflation isn’t tame, despite hints of multiple 2026 rate cuts. Tariffs and base effects distort CPI. Sticky core services keep cuts uncertain—watch CPI; volatility hedges may pay. – vtmarketsmy.com
Danske researchers say Sweden’s unemployment fell to 8.0%, lowering the odds of rate cuts and implying revisions
Written on February 17, 2026 at 9:09 pm, by davin
Sweden’s unemployment surprise (8.0% vs 8.8%) signals a strong labor market, lowering near-term Riksbank cut odds. With inflation back near target, traders eye SEK strength versus EUR—watch March data. – vtmarketsmy.com
