Monthly Archives: February 2026
A recurring expansion-reset pattern has SPY and QQQ testing highs as they await breakout acceptance or a pullback rotation
Written on February 17, 2026 at 9:09 pm, by davin
SPY and QQQ are back at a ceiling that’s held since 2021—breakout or reset? Watch weekly closes: QQQ often cracks first. Rising put/call warns caution; use defined-risk spreads. – vtmarketsmy.com
After the RBA minutes, AUD/USD slips to around 0.7050 as the AUD weakens and the USD stays cautious ahead of the Fed minutes
Written on February 17, 2026 at 8:09 pm, by davin
AUD/USD slips near 0.7050 as RBA minutes dodge clear rate guidance, pressuring the Aussie. Focus turns to jobs and CPI. Fed steadiness boosts USD; traders eye downside plays. – vtmarketsmy.com
TD Securities expects December PCE inflation to strengthen, with core and headline rising 0.25% and 0.27% month over month, nearing 3% year over year
Written on February 17, 2026 at 8:09 pm, by davin
Inflation may be re-accelerating: TD Securities sees December PCE firming and tariffs lifting prices, keeping inflation sticky into early 2026. Markets are pricing fewer rate cuts, boosting volatility and hedging demand. – vtmarketsmy.com
In January, Canada’s headline CPI rose 2.3% year on year, below forecasts, while prices were unchanged month on month
Written on February 17, 2026 at 8:09 pm, by davin
Canada’s inflation cooled to 2.3%, easing pressure on the Bank of Canada to hike. With core still hot, cuts look unlikely—setting up a steady USD/CAD climb and tactical options trades. – vtmarketsmy.com
Pesole says the RBNZ’s November 2025 forecasts underplayed inflation as CPI data exceeded them, delaying rate cuts
Written on February 17, 2026 at 7:09 pm, by davin
New Zealand inflation is running hotter than the RBNZ expected, raising doubts about past rate cuts. ING now sees no February move, but forecasts earlier hikes: two in 2026, one in 2027. – vtmarketsmy.com
Canada’s core monthly CPI was unchanged at 0.2% in January, the same as the previous month
Written on February 17, 2026 at 7:09 pm, by davin
Canada’s core inflation stuck at 0.2% in January, keeping annual pace near 2.4%. Strong jobs and wages weaken rate-cut hopes, supporting CAD, pressuring stocks, and boosting volatility hedging demand. – vtmarketsmy.com
In January, Canada’s monthly CPI stayed flat at 0%, missing forecasts of a 0.1% rise
Written on February 17, 2026 at 7:09 pm, by davin
Canada’s January CPI was flat at 0%, missing forecasts. Markets now expect earlier Bank of Canada rate cuts, weakening the loonie, boosting stocks, rallying bonds, and favoring REIT/utility plays. – vtmarketsmy.com
In January, Canada’s annual CPI came in at 2.3%, below economists’ 2.4% forecast
Written on February 17, 2026 at 7:09 pm, by davin
Canada inflation hit 2.3% in January, undershooting forecasts and boosting rate-cut bets. Expect weaker CAD, stronger USD/CAD, firmer bonds and rate-sensitive stocks—unless hot 4.5% wage growth delays cuts. – vtmarketsmy.com
Canada’s BoC core CPI rose 0.2% in January, reversing a 0.4% fall in the previous month
Written on February 17, 2026 at 6:09 pm, by davin
Canada’s core inflation flipped from -0.4% to +0.2% in January, shaking rate-cut hopes. Strong jobs and 2.6% core inflation push “higher-for-longer,” lifting the Canadian dollar outlook. – vtmarketsmy.com
Canada’s foreign portfolio investment fell to -$5.57B in December, far below the $14.27B forecast
Written on February 17, 2026 at 6:09 pm, by davin
Foreign investors dumped $5.57bn in Canadian securities in December, missing a $14.27bn inflow forecast. Biggest outflow in 18 months threatens loonie weakness, TSX pressure, echoing 2014-15 oil-linked capital flight. – vtmarketsmy.com
