Monthly Archives: February 2026
During Asia trading, sellers keep EUR/USD below the 1.1800s, but fundamentals suggest limited further downside
Written on February 17, 2026 at 6:09 am, by davin
EUR/USD slips under 1.1850 as ECB rate-cut bets grow and the dollar steadies above 97. But with both ECB and Fed cautious, expect a 1.19–1.225 range—and option-selling opportunities. – vtmarketsmy.com
GBP/USD holds above 1.3600 as the broader backdrop weakens, but bears lack conviction ahead of UK employment data
Written on February 17, 2026 at 6:09 am, by davin
GBP/USD hovers above 1.3600 as the dollar firms. UK jobs data, CPI, retail sales, and Fed minutes could spark volatility; weak jobs may break support. Options hedges like puts or strangles. – vtmarketsmy.com
Gold falls again near $4,930 during Asian hours as China’s holidays keep volumes muted
Written on February 17, 2026 at 5:10 am, by davin
Gold slips near $4,930, but thin Asian trading and Fed-cut hopes limit losses. This week’s Fed minutes, GDP, and PCE loom as US-Iran and Russia-Ukraine tensions keep safe-haven demand alive. – vtmarketsmy.com
Following divergences between BoJ and Fed policies, the Japanese yen strengthens, pushing USD/JPY toward resistance near 153.75
Written on February 17, 2026 at 5:09 am, by davin
USD/JPY stalled near 153.75, slipping toward 153.2 as intervention fears grow. Diverging Fed–BoJ rates drive moves, while data and FOMC minutes loom. Options hedges: long JPY calls, sell short-dated premium. – vtmarketsmy.com
After the RBA minutes, the Australian dollar remains subdued as AUD/USD drifts near 0.7070 in Asian trading hours
Written on February 17, 2026 at 5:09 am, by davin
AUD/USD slid to 0.7070 after RBA minutes signaled data-driven policy with no fixed rate path. With Australia cooling and the Fed still cautious, markets brace for volatility and downside. – vtmarketsmy.com
RBA minutes show February hike was driven by stronger data, persistent inflation and looser financial conditions
Written on February 17, 2026 at 5:09 am, by davin
RBA minutes reveal February’s rate hike to 3.85% was driven by stubborn inflation—yet now inflation cools and jobs soften, shifting bets to cuts, higher volatility, and a weaker Aussie dollar. – vtmarketsmy.com
Commerzbank says the PBoC may target overnight repo rates, echoing the Fed, as seasonal lending stays strong
Written on February 17, 2026 at 4:11 am, by davin
China’s central bank may pivot to the overnight repo rate as its key policy anchor, signaling easier policy. Seasonal lending masked weak demand, and low inflation boosts cut expectations—pressuring yields and the yuan. – vtmarketsmy.com
UOB predicts Malaysia’s growth will ease as BNM holds rates; Q4 2025 GDP hits 6.3% year on year
Written on February 17, 2026 at 4:11 am, by davin
Malaysia just clocked its fastest growth since 2022: 4Q25 GDP surged 6.3%, lifting 2025 to 5.2% above forecasts. But expect cooling in 2026, steady rates, and hedging-focused markets. – vtmarketsmy.com
BNY analysts expect BI to hold rates at 4.75% to support rupiah stability, keep an easing bias and limit cuts
Written on February 17, 2026 at 4:09 am, by davin
Bank Indonesia is set to hold rates at 4.75%, prioritizing rupiah defense over growth. Expect stronger FX intervention, lower USD/IDR volatility, and potential opportunities in range-bound options strategies. – vtmarketsmy.com
DBS strategist Philip Wee says China is steering the CNY higher as USD/CNY dips below 7.00 and holds firm within its band
Written on February 17, 2026 at 4:09 am, by davin
China is guiding the yuan stronger after the tariff truce, boosting credibility and global use. USD/CNY trends lower, volatility is suppressed, and yield spreads attract inflows—creating opportunities in CNH longs, puts, and carry. – vtmarketsmy.com
