Monthly Archives: February 2026
Markets expect the RBNZ to keep the OCR at 2.25%, with a 99% chance priced in
Written on February 17, 2026 at 3:09 am, by davin
Markets expect RBNZ to hold rates at 2.25% tomorrow, but hot 3.1% inflation and ultra-low 3.3% unemployment could force hawkish guidance—sparking NZ dollar volatility and rate-hike bets. – vtmarketsmy.com
Commerzbank’s Moses Lim says Malaysia’s ringgit is leading Asia, backed by growth, FDI inflows, exports and tech investment
Written on February 17, 2026 at 3:09 am, by davin
Asia’s top currency no more? Malaysia’s ringgit surged early on growth and exports, but weaker GDP and USD/MYR near 4.78 shift focus to steady rates, firm exports, and range-trading options. – vtmarketsmy.com
Silver fell nearly 1% in the North American session as a firm US dollar pushed it below the 50-day SMA
Written on February 17, 2026 at 3:09 am, by davin
Silver slides nearly 1% as a stronger dollar and bearish momentum trap prices in a $75–$80 range. Watch $75: break risks $70+ drops; reclaim $80 targets $85–$90. – vtmarketsmy.com
With US markets closed, the dollar steadied as traders awaited the FOMC minutes, UK CPI and PCE data
Written on February 17, 2026 at 3:09 am, by davin
Markets are calm, but Friday’s US Core PCE could shake everything. Dollar stays strong, majors softer, gold far below 2025 highs. Traders watch UK data, Fed minutes, Canada CPI, and geopolitics. – vtmarketsmy.com
OCBC strategists: USD/SGD range-bound near lows as soft US data pressures the dollar
Written on February 17, 2026 at 2:09 am, by davin
USD/SGD is stuck near lows as soft US data fuels Fed cut bets and SGD stays strong. Watch 1.2590 support and 1.2670–1.2710 resistance; range trades may win. – vtmarketsmy.com
Gold falls below $5,000 as the US dollar strengthens amid low liquidity, with US and China markets closed
Written on February 17, 2026 at 2:09 am, by davin
Gold slid below $5,000 in thin holiday trade as the dollar rose. Fed caution clashes with rate-cut bets, risking more downside. Watch $4,900 support, key data, and geopolitical shocks. – vtmarketsmy.com
BNY expects the BSP to cut Philippine rates by 25 bps to 4.25%, pressuring the peso amid growth worries
Written on February 17, 2026 at 2:09 am, by davin
BNY expects the Philippine central bank to cut rates to 4.25% on Feb 19 as growth slows. Inflation looks contained, but peso support may weaken, sparking USD/PHP options and forwards trades. – vtmarketsmy.com
Societe Generale’s Dev Ashish says a court paused Colombia’s wage hike, boosting sentiment on the peso
Written on February 17, 2026 at 2:09 am, by davin
Colombia’s top court froze Petro’s 23% wage hike, briefly boosting peso and bonds. But 7.8% inflation and politics keep rates higher-for-longer; traders now hedge with USD/COP calls. – vtmarketsmy.com
AUD stays subdued near 0.7072 against a stronger US dollar as traders await RBA minutes
Written on February 17, 2026 at 1:09 am, by davin
AUD/USD holds near 0.7072 after retreating from 0.7147 as holiday-thinned trade dulls moves. Traders eye Fed cut timing and RBA hikes, with jobs and inflation data set to jolt volatility. – vtmarketsmy.com
Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur says China’s record Q4 2025 surplus adds to evidence the yuan is tightly managed
Written on February 17, 2026 at 1:09 am, by davin
Record Q4 2025 surplus and FDI surge should lift the yuan—but it didn’t. China’s tight currency controls and reserve buying keep USD/CNH volatility low, favoring range-bound strategies over breakouts. – vtmarketsmy.com
