Monthly Archives: February 2026
NZD/USD holds near 0.6040 in the European session as traders await the RBNZ rate decision
Written on February 16, 2026 at 12:09 pm, by davin
NZD/USD is stuck near 0.6040, but Wednesday’s RBNZ decision could spark a breakout. Markets expect hawkish rates amid rising NZ inflation; cooling US inflation supports Kiwi strength. Options hint: buy calls. – vtmarketsmy.com
Deutsche Bank says AI fears drove a market repricing, wiping out over $1tn and spreading volatility beyond tech
Written on February 16, 2026 at 12:09 pm, by davin
AI fears sparked a $1T equity wipeout in two weeks, spreading turmoil beyond tech into financials and real estate. With VIX elevated, traders eye hedges—before Thursday’s CPI becomes the next catalyst. – vtmarketsmy.com
Rabobank says the ECB is letting non-euro central banks borrow euros, raising questions about the euro’s global role
Written on February 16, 2026 at 12:09 pm, by davin
ECB lets non-euro central banks borrow euros, boosting global euro liquidity and its reserve role. Rabobank says it could strengthen EUR, widen Europe’s deficit, and spark political backlash—traders eye EUR/USD calls. – vtmarketsmy.com
Ahead of key events this week, markets remain calm as traders await developments in major currency pairs
Written on February 16, 2026 at 12:09 pm, by davin
Quiet FX markets hide opportunity: softer US inflation weakens USD as traders await jobs and CPI. Low volatility makes options cheap—consider USD puts, oil tail-risk calls, AUD strangles, gold covered calls. – vtmarketsmy.com
USD/CHF holds near 0.7700 as softer Swiss CPI reinforces expectations of a dovish SNB stance
Written on February 16, 2026 at 11:09 am, by davin
USD/CHF holds near 0.7690 as Swiss inflation stays near zero, keeping the SNB dovish. Softer US CPI may weaken USD, but policy divergence and low CHF volatility favor bullish option strategies. – vtmarketsmy.com
EUR stays near 1.1865 against the USD as holiday-thinned trading precedes a week full of data releases
Written on February 16, 2026 at 11:09 am, by davin
EUR/USD stalled at 1.1865 as weak Eurozone output and holiday-thinned trading muted moves. Fast-forward: growth lags, Fed stays hawkish, ECB hints cuts—volatility rises, traders eye breakouts. – vtmarketsmy.com
USD/JPY rebounds to around 153.25, stays below the 200-day EMA, and recovers from 38.2% Fibonacci support
Written on February 16, 2026 at 11:09 am, by davin
USD/JPY rebounded after Japan’s weak GDP hit the yen, but upside looks capped. Key support sits near 152.11-152.54, resistance 154.96. Traders eye cautious, range-based options setups. – vtmarketsmy.com
Geoff Yu says tighter global conditions and weaker risk appetite are pressuring EM carry and driving outflows
Written on February 16, 2026 at 11:09 am, by davin
Carry trades are cracking: tighter global conditions and fading Fed-cut hopes trigger outflows from high-yield EM currencies, especially crowded Latin America. Expect volatility; hedge MXN/BRL. Asia looks safer, undervalued, less crowded. – vtmarketsmy.com
FedEx shares closed higher at $374.72, beating broader indices as Nasdaq slipped despite S&P gains
Written on February 16, 2026 at 10:10 am, by davin
FedEx surged 18% in a month—now earnings loom. Revenue is forecast up 5.9% but EPS down 10%, with rising options volatility signaling a potentially big post-report move either way. – vtmarketsmy.com
Sterling-dollar holds near the 20-day EMA at around 1.3640 as it awaits UK jobs figures for the December quarter
Written on February 16, 2026 at 10:10 am, by davin
GBP/USD is stuck in a tight triangle as traders brace for Tuesday’s UK jobs and wages data. BoE, Fed outlooks diverge; volatility is cheap, raising breakout odds above 1.2750 or 1.2500. – vtmarketsmy.com
