Monthly Archives: February 2026
Australia’s CFTC non-commercial net AUD positions rose from 26.1K to 33.2K in the latest report
Written on February 14, 2026 at 4:09 am, by davin
Speculators just boosted bullish AUD bets: CFTC net longs jumped to 33.2K from 26.1K. Strong China data, firm commodities, and RBA-vs-Fed rate divergence fuel AUD/USD upside. – vtmarketsmy.com
US CFTC data showed S&P 500 non-commercial net positions rose to -105.1K from -132.9K.
Written on February 14, 2026 at 4:08 am, by davin
CFTC data shows S&P 500 speculators are cutting shorts: net positions improved to -105.1K from -132.9K. Cooling CPI (2.9%) may spur short-covering, hinting at a 2022-style rally. – vtmarketsmy.com
US CFTC data shows gold non-commercial net positions fell from 165.6K to 160K, easing slightly
Written on February 14, 2026 at 3:09 am, by davin
Gold bulls are quietly retreating: CFTC shows speculators cut net long positions to 160K from 165.6K as cooler inflation, steady Fed rates, and a firm dollar dampen rally momentum. – vtmarketsmy.com
UK CFTC data shows GBP net non-commercial positions fell from -13.9K to -25.8K
Written on February 14, 2026 at 3:09 am, by davin
Speculators just doubled GBP bearish bets: CFTC net shorts sank to -25.8K from -13.9K. Hot inflation, weaker growth and political risk weigh. Consider GBP/USD put spreads, but crowded shorts risk squeezes. – vtmarketsmy.com
Japan’s CFTC report shows yen non-commercial net positions at -19.1K, slightly firmer than the previous -19.2K
Written on February 14, 2026 at 3:09 am, by davin
Yen shorts are still packed: speculators hold -19.1K contracts, barely changed. Wide U.S.–Japan rate gaps fuel carry trades, but crowded bets risk a sudden squeeze—cheap options hedges can help. – vtmarketsmy.com
Commerzbank says India’s new CPI shows January inflation at 2.8%, within the RBI target and less volatile
Written on February 14, 2026 at 3:09 am, by davin
India’s revamped CPI (2024 base) shows January inflation at 2.8%, back in RBI’s 2–6% band. Lower food weight may cut volatility, keeping rates at 5.25% and markets calmer. – vtmarketsmy.com
Goolsbee expects rate cuts if services inflation continues to ease, he told Yahoo Finance
Written on February 14, 2026 at 2:09 am, by davin
Rate cuts may come, Chicago Fed’s Goolsbee says—but sticky services inflation keeps the Fed cautious. Strong jobs and consumers reduce urgency, potentially delaying cuts and boosting volatility, dollar strength, and pressuring gold. – vtmarketsmy.com
Ahead of PCE data and Fed comments, the US dollar weakens near 96.80 after a brief lift from jobs data
Written on February 14, 2026 at 2:09 am, by davin
Dollar slips despite solid jobs as softer inflation shifts rate bets. Watch packed central-bank week: ECB possibly cuts first, AUD loses tailwind, GBP stays choppy, gold ranges; data/option volatility may spike. – vtmarketsmy.com
Standard Chartered’s Tommy Wu raises Taiwan’s 2026 GDP forecast to 8% on global AI export boom
Written on February 14, 2026 at 2:09 am, by davin
Taiwan’s 2026 growth outlook just doubled: Standard Chartered sees 8% GDP, driven by booming semiconductor exports. Expect bumpy quarters, stronger TWD, tech-led equities, and property curbs. – vtmarketsmy.com
Gold rebounds toward $5,000 as softer U.S. inflation boosts expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts
Written on February 14, 2026 at 2:08 am, by davin
Gold jumped 2%, reclaiming $5,000 after cooler US inflation eased rate fears. Falling yields and a weaker dollar boosted sentiment. Traders eye $5,100-$5,200, with hedges near $4,950. – vtmarketsmy.com