Monthly Archives: February 2026
After softer US CPI, gold rebounds towards $5,000 on Fed rate-cut hopes after dipping near $4,880
Written on February 13, 2026 at 8:09 pm, by davin
Gold rebounded near $5,000 after softer US CPI boosted Fed cut bets, weakening the dollar and yields. Volatility remains high after a sharp selloff; watch $5,100 breakout or $4,800 support. – vtmarketsmy.com
ING economists say January CPI rose unexpectedly due to technical factors, but inflation remains below Poland’s central target
Written on February 13, 2026 at 8:09 pm, by davin
Poland’s CPI surprised at 2.2%, yet stays below the 2.5% target. Falling fuel drives disinflation, keeping March rate-cut bets alive—favoring bond gains, weaker zloty, and stronger stocks. – vtmarketsmy.com
Commerzbank’s Thu Lan Nguyen warns Germany’s gas reserves are only 25% full, but LNG flexibility reduces the risk of shortages
Written on February 13, 2026 at 8:09 pm, by davin
Germany’s gas storage is near 25%, far below normal. No immediate shortage, but next winter looks riskier. LNG imports help, yet global competition may drive volatility, making later-dated winter contracts appealing. – vtmarketsmy.com
EUR/USD holds near 1.1870 as softer US CPI undermines the dollar, allowing the euro to recover losses
Written on February 13, 2026 at 8:09 pm, by davin
EUR/USD rebounds near 1.1870 as cooler US inflation hits the dollar. Markets price Fed rate cuts, boosting bullish bets like call spreads—though ECB warnings near 1.2000 may cap gains. – vtmarketsmy.com
TD Securities’ strategists say that escalating tensions in the Middle East and Iran-related scenarios could change oil price risks
Written on February 13, 2026 at 7:09 pm, by davin
Oil’s “Iran risk” could swing Brent from a bearish new deal to war-driven spikes above $100–120. With Brent $88 and volatility rising, traders hedge with puts, call spreads, straddles. – vtmarketsmy.com
Sterling holds near 1.3600 against the dollar after four days of losses ahead of the US inflation release
Written on February 13, 2026 at 7:09 pm, by davin
Pound slips to 1.3600 as traders await US CPI—again. In 2025, “easing inflation” was wrong, dollar surged, and support broke. With strong US jobs, consider hedging GBP downside. – vtmarketsmy.com
Rabobank’s Bas van Geffen says EU leaders are weighing a multi-speed union to boost reforms and competitiveness
Written on February 13, 2026 at 7:09 pm, by davin
EU leaders eye a “multi‑speed” union to boost competitiveness, possibly via enhanced cooperation and a new corporate “28th regime.” Markets brace for divergence: higher volatility, widening bond spreads, and euro swings. – vtmarketsmy.com
US CPI annual inflation eased to 2.4% in January, below the 2.5% forecast, BLS reported
Written on February 13, 2026 at 7:09 pm, by davin
Inflation just cooled: US CPI fell to 2.4% in January, below forecasts, nudging the dollar lower. But core stayed 2.5%, leaving Fed cuts uncertain and volatility rising ahead of March. – vtmarketsmy.com
In January, the seasonally adjusted U.S. core CPI index rose to 332.79 from 331.86 previously
Written on February 13, 2026 at 6:09 pm, by davin
Hotter-than-expected January core CPI rose to 332.79 (+0.28%) as jobs surged, reviving “economy too hot” fears. Rate-cut hopes fade, yields and volatility may rise, pressuring stocks while boosting the dollar. – vtmarketsmy.com
EUR/GBP rebounds from earlier lows as Eurozone GDP data meets fourth-quarter 2025 forecasts, supporting the euro
Written on February 13, 2026 at 6:09 pm, by davin
EUR/GBP bounced off 0.8700 as Eurozone GDP met forecasts and jobs stayed firm, while UK growth disappointed. With ECB steady, BoE turning dovish, cheap options favor euro upside toward 0.8850. – vtmarketsmy.com
