Osborne explains why the Pound is performing well against the US Dollar despite a poor manufacturing PMI

    by VT Markets
    /
    May 22, 2025

    Investment Risks and Recommendations

    Investing comes with risks and uncertainties, especially regarding forward-looking statements in market analysis. It’s important for readers to research thoroughly before investing. Open market investing can be risky and may lead to complete loss of funds. The information here should not be seen as a recommendation to buy or sell assets. Any losses from investments are the sole responsibility of the individual. This article does not provide investment advice. Trading foreign currency on margin carries high risks and may not be suitable for everyone. Leverage can work for or against you. It’s vital to evaluate your investment goals, experience, and ability to take risks before engaging in trading.

    Recent Movements in Pound Sterling

    Recently, Pound Sterling pulled back slightly, down 0.2% against the Dollar. This reflects widespread unease about domestic growth rather than a weak currency position. The Pound is currently in the middle among major currencies, leading to a more cautious attitude among traders. UK preliminary PMI data showed weakness, especially the manufacturing figure, which dropped to a contractionary 45.1. This indicates ongoing supply and demand issues in British industry. On the other hand, the services sector slightly stayed in growth at 50.2, suggesting hesitance about immediate momentum. The lack of investment in productive sectors means little confidence in domestic demand, evident in this week’s options volume reactions. Despite the data, Sterling retains a generally bullish tone against the Dollar. Momentum indicators show that while RSI is under 60, there’s potential for upward movement, though challenges remain. If pressure increases, we’re keeping an eye on support levels below 1.33, where buying interest may rise. The pair seems to be in a retracement phase within a larger upward trend, which often stretches before either breaking out or retreating. A short-term squeeze higher could happen if market positions shift. For those trading with derivatives, flexibility is key. Recent cable movements highlight this pair’s sensitivity to sudden economic news, making tight strike spreads and disciplined entry essential. It’s more about sticking to key technical points and confirming momentum than making bold bets. Leveraged forex products can move in both directions. A risky position during high volatility can lead to more than just short-term losses—it can disrupt months of careful trading. We recommend setting clear stop-loss levels, especially during low liquidity sessions when spreads can widen unexpectedly. Instead of relying solely on momentum, consider a slightly contrarian approach in the coming sessions. While the broader market focuses on the US dollar, economic developments from the UK will continue to influence short-term fluctuations. Bailey’s recent comments suggest policy direction remains responsive to incoming data. Surprises in UK wage growth or inflation might spark discussions about tightening, which could benefit Sterling. Monitoring macroeconomic conditions is one aspect; managing actual position exposure is another. In the week ahead, we’ll closely examine implied volatility metrics on Sterling pairs and adjust our collar strategies as needed. If you’re trading options, flat gamma can be more forgiving at these key levels. Create your live VT Markets account and start trading now.

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