Mortgage applications in the US increased by 2.7% as of June 27, up from a previous rise of 1.1%. This indicates stronger demand for mortgages.
The EUR/USD pair is settling slightly below the 1.1700 level, as the US dollar shows weakness. Ongoing discussions center around the future of the Federal Reserve under President Trump’s administration.
GBP/USD stays robust, trading above 1.3700, nearing three-year highs. This strength comes amid a declining dollar and expected statements from the Bank of England (BoE).
Gold Price Trends
Gold prices are on a gentle upward trend but remain below the $3,350 mark. The market is cautious due to possible shifts in Federal Reserve leadership under President Trump.
Bitcoin Cash is aiming for a 52-week high, having jumped by 6.39% recently. This cryptocurrency shows bullish momentum, approaching the $500 mark.
Tensions in the Israel-Iran conflict raise concerns about the potential closure of the Strait of Hormuz, adding uncertainty to the oil markets, given its importance for global shipping.
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The recent rise in mortgage applications by 2.7% might indicate a change in household sentiment, possibly due to slightly lower rates or improved short-term affordability. This could signal a mild rebound in consumer borrowing interest, at least for now. The lending environment is still adapting to larger economic trends, so traders should pay close attention to upcoming indicators, especially in housing and consumer sectors.
In the currency market, the EUR/USD pair’s stability near 1.1700 suggests hesitation among traders despite a weak dollar. The gap between daily highs and current levels seems to indicate underlying doubts, particularly regarding future monetary policy amid changing political influences. The evolving situation around the Federal Reserve—especially with growing political pressure—continues to impact exchange rates. Positions in this pair might remain limited until we see clearer signals from yield differentials compared to eurozone debt.
Meanwhile, the strength of the pound reflects differing expectations between the Bank of England and the Federal Reserve. With the pound at levels not seen in several years, there may be opportunities for tactical adjustments. Bailey’s upcoming remarks are likely already factored into the prices, but they may increase near-term volatility, especially with references to interest rate pacing or economic conditions. The pound’s resilience indicates that traders are still considering potential rate hikes.
Gold’s cautious rise, still under $3,350, shows ongoing uncertainty. While gold usually benefits from weaker US yields, constant worries about central bank stability and geopolitical issues mean that even traditional safe-haven investments are acting cautiously. We are monitoring real yield changes, as even small adjustments could lead to significant moves in futures.
Bitcoin Cash’s rise to near its one-year high—up 6.39% recently—signals broader optimism in digital assets. We see that liquidity has strengthened on days with substantial inflows, indicating that trend-following strategies are gaining momentum again. However, these trends have been short-lived in the past, and any breach above the $500 mark must be sustained to provide further technical confirmation. Careful risk management is essential given the past volatility of this asset.
Oil markets are preparing for possible disruptions. Rising tensions between Israel and Iran could impact tanker routes, and any real threat to the Strait of Hormuz would likely lead to higher prices for near-term crude contracts. This situation is not just about headline risks—it encompasses actual oil flow logistics. We’ve observed similar patterns before, where premiums spike before stabilizing. Traders need to act quickly, but maintaining heightened awareness is crucial in such external scenarios.
We view these developments as interconnected parts of a larger, reactive system. Pricing behavior across different asset classes will largely depend on political developments and clarity from central banks. Staying engaged with bid-ask ratios, timing of policy comments, and volume shifts—especially during overlapping trading sessions—will benefit those actively trading.
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