Trump announces 100% tariff on chips, allowing exemptions for companies that commit to US production

    by VT Markets
    /
    Aug 6, 2025
    Trump has imposed a 100% tariff on all imported computer chips and semiconductors. This decision aims to boost production in the U.S. by encouraging companies to manufacture locally. Companies that are building or planning to build facilities in the U.S. will not have to pay the tariff. While the goal is to increase domestic manufacturing, this could lead to higher prices for electronics, cars, appliances, and other consumer goods.

    Anticipated Market Volatility

    In the coming weeks, we expect a lot of market fluctuations, especially in tech and auto sectors. This tariff instills a sense of uncertainty, and history shows us that the market dislikes such uncertainty. We should consider buying call options on the volatility index (VIX) or on tech-focused ETFs. On the brighter side, domestic semiconductor companies may benefit. Shares of U.S.-based chip makers, like Intel and Micron, rose over 8% in pre-market trading today, similar to the boost they received from the 2022 CHIPS Act. We should explore call options on these domestic manufacturers, as they are likely to gain market share quickly. Conversely, companies that rely heavily on finished chips from Asia, and have no plans to expand in the U.S., are at greater risk. Many consumer electronics firms get around 85% of their key components from abroad, according to a July 2025 industry report. Buying put options on these companies for the next month or two might be a wise defensive strategy.

    Exemption Interpretations

    The key issue is how the exemption will be defined and applied. Major foreign companies such as TSMC and Samsung, which have large facilities operating in Arizona and Texas, may be safe and could see their stocks stabilize or rise. We’ll be monitoring for any clarification from the administration about what “commitment” means before making any significant decisions. The auto industry will feel the impact quickly, as modern vehicles often contain thousands of chips. We all remember the production halts during the 2021 chip shortage, and this tariff could lead to a similar cost-driven crisis. We are considering put options on automakers that have been slow to diversify their supply chains away from single-source Asian suppliers. Overall, this tariff puts additional pressure on inflation, which had recently started to ease to a 2.8% annual rate last month. If electronics and car prices rise sharply, it may force the Federal Reserve to reconsider its stance on interest rates. This uncertainty affects the entire market, not just the tech sector. Create your live VT Markets account and start trading now.

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