NVIDIA stock analysis shows strong bearish sentiment and selling pressure in premarket trading

    by VT Markets
    /
    Aug 11, 2025
    Today’s analysis focuses on NVDA stock movements using Order Flow Intel, highlighting market sentiment and informed trading strategies. Following the Order Flow Intel methods from InvestingLive.com, the stock opened at $181.50, dipped to $180.42, and stabilized around $182.20 by midday. However, it faced a sharp drop to $179.12 during the trading session before closing at $181.67, indicating ongoing selling pressure. Order flow and delta metrics show strong selling dominance in the morning, as seen with the negative cumulative delta. Midday buying attempts quickly faded, showing a lack of institutional backing. The last hour before the market closed showed significant sell-side pressure, hinting that it was driven by institutional selling rather than retail traders. This observation aligns with price movements, offering insights into the market’s dynamics. The NVDA stock analysis indicates that weak institutional activity combined with heavy selling may lead to retests of the $179.00 level. To recover above $183, positive delta changes are necessary. The analysis uses real-time order flow, unique AI insights, and price action context. InvestingLive.com helps traders by signaling early institutional activities and warning against liquidity traps, though independent research and risk management are still encouraged. For those considering selling, Friday’s VWAP at $182.41 is highlighted as a notable target area. We see that sellers are leading NVDA this morning, August 11, 2025. The order flow consistently shows a negative delta, pointing to aggressive selling likely from large institutions. This weakness suggests that small rallies may not be sustainable. In light of this selling pressure, if the stock dips below the $181.00 mark, it may retest support around $179.00 or even lower. Derivative traders might think about buying put options to take advantage of this potential decline, as the current setup makes buying call options quite risky. This perspective is reinforced by broader market concerns following the strong July 2025 jobs report, reviving fears of another Federal Reserve rate hike in September. We witnessed similar pressure on high-growth tech stocks during the 2022 tightening cycle. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield has risen to 4.35%, its highest point this year, making growth stock valuations less appealing. Additionally, there are new reports about possible U.S. export controls on next-gen AI accelerators. This fundamental challenge aligns with the institutional selling we’re seeing in the order flow. The broader semiconductor sector has also weakened, with the SOXX index declining 6% since late July 2025. For those seeking income, selling out-of-the-money call spreads with strikes safely above the $183 resistance level could be a good strategy. This would yield profits if the stock remains below that crucial technical level in the coming weeks. Friday’s volume-weighted average price around $182.41 further confirms this area as a strong selling zone. Implied volatility for NVDA options has been increasing, recently reaching a three-month high, indicating that the market is expecting larger price fluctuations. While this leads to higher option premiums, the clear bearish order flow shows that the path of least resistance is likely down. The put-to-call ratio for NVDA has also climbed to 1.15, the highest level since the last earnings report, reflecting a clear shift in market sentiment.

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