Revised Q2 Eurozone GDP stays at +0.1% quarterly and +1.4% annually, unchanged from preliminary figures.

    by VT Markets
    /
    Aug 14, 2025
    The Eurozone’s GDP for the second quarter of 2025 remained the same as the initial estimate, showing a quarterly growth of 0.1%. When compared to the same period last year, GDP grew by 1.4%, matching the first report.

    Eurozone Quarterly GDP Analysis

    In the previous quarter, GDP growth was reported at 0.3%. Eurostat released these figures on August 14, 2025. The confirmed data indicates that the Eurozone economy barely grew in the second quarter of 2025, expanding by only 0.1%. This marks a significant slowdown from the 0.3% growth seen in the first quarter. It reinforces the idea that the economy is stagnating, limiting growth potential. This weak performance may keep the European Central Bank cautious, delaying any interest rate hikes. If upcoming inflation data continues to decline, we might even see discussions about possible rate cuts before the year ends. This contrasts with the latest US inflation figures from July 2025, which stand at 2.8%, allowing the Federal Reserve less room to ease its policies.

    Investment and Market Strategy

    For those involved in trading equity derivatives, this suggests a tough time for European corporate earnings. It may be wise to buy put options on broad indices like the EURO STOXX 50 to protect against potential downside risks in the coming weeks. We can look back at the economic slowdown of 2023, where defensive stocks did better than those sensitive to the economic cycle. The weak growth outlook puts pressure on the Euro, particularly against the US dollar. We expect the EUR/USD exchange rate to face downward pressure, making short positions or purchasing EUR put options an intriguing option. The differing policies of a cautious ECB and a more aggressive Federal Reserve support this viewpoint. In the bond markets, this economic scenario highlights the attractiveness of government debt as a safe investment. We anticipate yields on German Bunds to stay low or possibly drop further from their current levels. Going long on Bund futures appears to be a sensible trade for the next month. While the confirmation of slow growth isn’t a huge surprise, it reinforces the idea of low volatility for now. Traders should be ready for quick, short-lived spikes in volatility due to unexpected data releases, such as the surprising drop in the German manufacturing PMI seen in June 2025. These events can create tactical opportunities in an otherwise quiet market. Create your live VT Markets account and start trading now.

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