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    The upcoming Asian economic calendar looks sparse, with little expected to affect market movements.

    by VT Markets
    /
    Sep 1, 2025
    The Asian economic calendar for September 2, 2025, shows a light schedule with little data expected to influence the markets. Australian inflation data, coming out at 0100 GMT from the TD-MI survey, is projected to be -0.3% month-on-month, down from +0.9% last month. The year-on-year rate is expected to be 2.8%, slightly less than the previous 2.9%.

    Inflation Outlook For Australia

    We’re getting a preview of Australian inflation, and it seems to be dropping faster than expected. This private survey indicates that prices have actually decreased from last month, bringing the annual rate down to 2.8%. This is important because it brings inflation back into the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) target range for the first time in years. The RBA has kept the cash rate at 4.35% for most of 2025, waiting for clear signs of price declines. This new number reduces the chances of another rate hike. Traders should expect a shift in market pricing, likely leading to an increase in interest rate futures as they bet on rates remaining lower for an extended period. We saw a similar trend beginning in late 2023 when the markets started to anticipate the end of the global interest rate hikes.

    Impact On The Aussie Dollar

    This outlook isn’t favorable for the Aussie dollar. Lower interest rate expectations make it less attractive. We can expect downward pressure on the AUD/USD, which has struggled to gain ground since the Q2 2025 inflation report showed a headline rate of 3.4%. Therefore, buying put options on the AUD could be a good strategy to prepare for a potential drop in the coming weeks. With the next RBA meeting still a few weeks away, this data removes a key uncertainty from the market. This will likely reduce the implied volatility of Australian interest rate derivatives. Traders might see this as a chance to sell options, such as out-of-the-money calls on bond futures, to earn premiums as the market stabilizes into a more predictable, hold stance. Create your live VT Markets account and start trading now.

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