Consumer inflation expectations in the United States drop to 4.7%, below the expected 4.8%

    by VT Markets
    /
    Sep 27, 2025
    The one-year consumer inflation expectations in the United States stood at 4.7% for September. This is slightly lower than the predicted 4.8%. This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets. It is provided solely for informational purposes and comes with potential risks and uncertainties.

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    Author and Advisory Roles

    The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors. This article does not provide investment advice. The latest inflation expectations data shows 4.7%, which is lower than the 4.8% expected. This indicates that worries about consumer prices may be easing, giving the Federal Reserve more leeway to keep interest rates steady. This slightly dovish signal may impact trading in several assets in the coming weeks. We expect to see changes in interest rate derivatives, especially in SOFR futures contracts for early 2026. Traders may increase bets against another rate hike this year. The CME FedWatch Tool could show less than a 10% chance of a hike before the year ends, down from closer to 20% earlier this week. This situation is usually positive for stocks, making bullish positions on index derivatives more appealing. We might see more buying of call options on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100. This data could also push the VIX, which has been near 18, lower to around 15 as market uncertainty decreases. The U.S. dollar may decline because lower rate expectations can reduce its attractiveness. Derivative traders might see this as a chance to bet against the dollar. We could see increased demand for call options on currency pairs like EUR/USD and GBP/USD. It’s important to consider this report alongside the recent CPI data from August 2025, which was slightly higher than preferred at 4.9%. This new consumer expectations data helps balance things out before the next FOMC meeting in November. This pattern is similar to late 2023 when falling inflation data led to a major policy shift from the Fed. Create your live VT Markets account and start trading now.

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