An opening bear trap in the S&P 500 caused a surge, but breadth struggled; NFLX tumbled despite positive pre-earnings sentiment.

    by VT Markets
    /
    Oct 22, 2025
    The S&P 500 dipped initially but then climbed back up. However, the number of stocks improving was limited. The communications sector led this rebound from the lows of October, yet Netflix lagged behind despite strong expectations before its earnings report.

    Key Charts To Watch

    Three important charts can help us understand market trends: financial stocks, junk bonds, and volatility. We need to assess whether the XLF and KRE show reduced anxiety like ZION and others. Additionally, we must determine if HYG’s decline is meaningful and if a VIX level of 17 offers enough protection. Monica Kingsley, a financial analyst and trader, shares her perspectives, guiding traders since February 2020. Current topics include market reactions to US-China trade relations, oil price changes driven by US inventory reports, and trends in gold leading up to US inflation updates. The editor’s picks highlight minor shifts in currency pairs like EUR/USD and GBP/USD, potential gold price levels, and XRP trends in the cryptocurrency market. Articles offer insights into the best brokers for 2025 and provide trading guides for various financial instruments, such as forex, gold, CFDs, and the EUR/USD. They also discuss brokers addressing specific needs, like high leverage, Islamic accounts, or popular platforms like MT4. The S&P 500 has risen from its mid-October lows, but the rally feels unstable as not enough stocks are joining in. The NYSE Advance-Decline line, which measures market breadth, has not reached new highs along with the index. This divergence is important to monitor and indicates the rally might be narrow, increasing the risk for long-shot call options.

    Warning Signs In The Market

    Netflix’s nearly 15% drop after its earnings report last week served as a wake-up call. It highlighted how quickly positive sentiment can vanish. This weakness in a previous market leader is affecting the communications sector and causing traders to worry about other high-value growth stocks. We can see these concerns in the options market, where the cost of put options is rising compared to calls. In the financial sector, we don’t see the strength needed to confirm a robust market, as the KBW Bank Index (BKX) has remained stuck around the 110 mark. Ongoing concerns regarding commercial real estate loans noted by the Federal Reserve earlier this month are putting pressure on regional bank stocks. This raises doubts about trusting the current equity rally and suggests that bullish strategies on the financial sector (XLF) might be premature. The high-yield bond market, a key indicator of risk appetite, is raising alarms with the recent decline in the HYG ETF. Throughout October 2025, there have been consistent outflows from junk bond funds, with over $2 billion withdrawn this month alone. This signals that larger investors are pulling back on risk, often indicating a stock market downturn is approaching. Volatility is building up, with the VIX finding strong support around the 17 level and not dropping further. This suggests that fear still lingers in the market, and the cost of portfolio protection is low at this point. Traders should be mindful that if the S&P 500 support breaks, we could see a sharp increase in the VIX, making strategies that benefit from rising volatility, such as long straddles on the SPY, more appealing. Create your live VT Markets account and start trading now.

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