Tokyo’s year-on-year CPI excluding fresh food exceeds expectations at 2.8% instead of 2.6%

    by VT Markets
    /
    Oct 31, 2025
    Japan’s Consumer Price Index (CPI), excluding fresh food, rose by 2.8% in October, topping forecasts of 2.6%. This increase has helped the Japanese yen gain strength, although buying activity has not been consistently strong. In comparison, the Australian dollar fell as the US dollar remained stable due to lower expectations for rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve. The USD/CAD pair is close to 1.4000, indicating less chance for further interest rate decreases.

    Gold Rallies and Cryptos Rise

    Gold is recovering, trading above $4,000 and aiming for its third monthly gain in a row. Bitcoin, which debuted 17 years ago through a whitepaper, has played a crucial role in the growth of the cryptocurrency market, now nearly worth $4 trillion. In trade news, discussions between Trump and Xi led to lower tariffs on fentanyl and the resumption of soybean exports. In cryptocurrency, Zcash has risen to about $360, despite the wider market’s ups and downs. The FXStreet team released a detailed analysis of financial markets, highlighting the risks of investing. They advised readers that investments can lead to total or partial losses and encouraged independent research. The latest inflation data from Japan, at 2.8%, exceeded the Bank of Japan’s target. This puts pressure on the BOJ to respond, which may lead to significant fluctuations in the yen. Keep an eye on options to exploit volatility in currency pairs like USD/JPY in the next few weeks.

    US Dollar Strength Persists

    The strong US Dollar remains the main story as hopes for a Federal Reserve rate cut disappear. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is reaching levels not seen since late 2022, trading firmly above 110. This trend indicates that betting against the Euro and Pound Sterling is the easiest strategy. The British Pound is notably weak, falling to a six-month low against the dollar under 1.3120. The UK economy has experienced sluggish growth for years, and this gap compared to the US economy is becoming more apparent. Any rise in the GBP/USD pair should be seen as a chance to sell. Despite the strong dollar, Gold holding above $4,000 is a significant indicator. It shows that traders are still hedging against ongoing global inflation, which even a tough Fed cannot contain. This pattern resembles what we saw in 2024, when gold rose to new heights despite high interest rates. Thus, we should think about buying put options on the EUR/USD and GBP/USD pairs to take advantage of further dollar strength while managing risk. For Gold, its resilience suggests buying call options or bull call spreads on dips. These strategies align with the ongoing themes of a strong dollar and stubborn inflation. Create your live VT Markets account and start trading now.

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