Société Générale analysts note EUR/NOK fluctuating between 11.53 and 11.83 without a clear trend

    by VT Markets
    /
    Nov 6, 2025
    EUR/NOK is fluctuating between 11.53 and 11.83 without a clear trend, recently stopping near September’s low. Analysts from Société Générale believe the drop has paused, but a significant rebound has yet to occur. The exchange rate is expected to stay within the set range of 11.53 (low) and 11.83 (high). A breakout beyond these levels is needed to indicate a direction change. The FXStreet Insights Team gathers market observations from experts, combining commercial notes and various analyst insights for a fuller picture. Additional resources include updates like gold prices exceeding $4,000 as the USD weakens, and GBP/USD trends following the Bank of England’s decisions. The Best Brokers in 2025 section offers reviews on cost, leverage, and trading platforms. FXStreet urges thorough research before trading, highlighting the risks involved. They do not offer personalized advice and stress that while they strive for accuracy and timeliness, they cannot guarantee it. As of November 6, 2025, the EUR/NOK pair has been stable after hitting a low near 11.53 in September. Currently, the exchange rate hovers around its 200-day moving average, indicating uncertainty in the market. It is likely to remain within the 11.53 to 11.83 range for the foreseeable future. This market indecision is supported by fundamental factors. Brent crude oil prices have been varying between $85 and $92 per barrel for the last month, not providing strong support for the Norwegian Krone. During its October meeting, Norges Bank maintained its key policy rate at 4.75%, reflecting the European Central Bank’s cautious approach due to recent Eurozone inflation of 2.8%. Compared to the volatility seen in 2022 and 2023, the current stability limits currency fluctuations. In this low-volatility environment, we should think about strategies that benefit from time decay and minimal movement. Selling option strangles or creating iron condors with strike prices outside the 11.53 to 11.83 range may help collect premiums. These methods are meant to profit from the pair staying within its established boundaries. We should stay alert for a breakout that could signal the start of a new trend. A clear move above 11.83 or below 11.53 would trigger a directional play. Being prepared to buy call options if the price rises or put options if it falls will help us take advantage of any potential momentum shift.

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