Consumer inflation expectations in the US fell from 4.5% to 4.1% in December

    by VT Markets
    /
    Dec 5, 2025
    In December, U.S. consumers expect inflation to be 4.1% over the next year, down from 4.5%. This change affects currencies and commodities. The Canadian Dollar rose after a positive jobs report. At the same time, the Dow Jones Industrial Average increased as PCE inflation eased, raising hopes for interest rate cuts.

    Gold And Cryptocurrency Trends

    Gold held steady at $4,200 but later dropped due to a stronger U.S. Dollar. Bitcoin stabilized above $91,000, while Ethereum remained above $3,100, as optimism grew around the Federal Reserve’s upcoming meeting. The market is focused on potential rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. Meetings from banks like the RBA, BoC, and SNB are not expected to bring surprises. Traders are influenced by these anticipated changes in monetary policy. Ripple continues to face financial challenges and has dropped in value despite consistent investments in its ETFs. Additionally, various brokerage rankings for 2025 provide traders with options that cater to different trading needs, from Forex to CFDs. FXStreet issues a disclaimer about trading and investment risks. It stresses the importance of thorough research and clarifies that its content is informational and not personalized investment advice.

    Rate Cuts And Market Reactions

    With inflation expectations at 4.1%, the market fully expects another rate cut at the Federal Reserve’s meeting on December 10th. The latest Core PCE reading, the Fed’s preferred measure, stood at 2.8% for October 2025, giving the central bank a reason to continue easing. This reinforces the belief that the aggressive rate hikes from 2023 are behind us. The U.S. Dollar’s weakness is the simplest trade, so derivative strategies should focus here. We expect further declines for the Dollar, making long call options on currencies like the Australian Dollar and Canadian Dollar appealing. The Dollar Index (DXY) is struggling to maintain the 102.00 level, a significant drop from the 104.00-106.00 range it held during most of 2024. For stock traders, this environment favors buying call options on major indices like the S&P 500 and Dow Jones. Lower interest rates often increase stock valuations, and the market is clearly anticipating ongoing support. Moreover, with gold holding above $4,200 an ounce, buying calls on gold futures or related ETFs is a leveraged bet on this trend continuing. The biggest risk isn’t the expected rate cut, but rather the Fed’s future guidance. The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) has risen above 17 this week, indicating market anxiety over potential surprises in the policy statement. This suggests that buying straddles or strangles on equity indices could be smart to profit from sharp price changes, no matter the direction. Create your live VT Markets account and start trading now.

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