The Reserve Bank of Australia keeps interest rate steady at 3.6%, meeting expectations

    by VT Markets
    /
    Dec 9, 2025
    The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has kept the interest rate steady at 3.6%, as expected by the market. This decision comes during ongoing discussions about inflation and economic growth in Australia. With steady economic growth and rising inflation, the RBA has chosen to maintain stable rates. Analysts are closely monitoring how this choice might impact the Australian dollar and the overall economy. People will pay attention to the RBA’s future monetary policy updates. As conditions evolve, market participants will watch for any changes from the RBA that could influence market trends. After remarks from RBA officials, the Australian dollar has shown strong performance, suggesting it could gain even more value. Commodity prices, particularly gold, are fluctuating due to changes in market sentiment and international economic signals. Currency pairs like AUD/USD will be affected by upcoming economic data and global financial trends. Central banks around the world are facing similar challenges, highlighting how interconnected global markets are, which traders and analysts need to consider. Now, looking back from December 2025, the decision to hold interest rates at 3.6% in early 2023 was just a temporary pause in a larger fight. The RBA later raised the cash rate to a peak of 4.35% that year to control inflation. After several cuts in 2024 and early 2025, the rate is now at a more neutral 3.10%, but the RBA is still holding steady. The central bank’s cautious approach makes sense, as recent data shows inflation has been stubbornly high, rising to 3.2% in the last quarter. This rate is just above the RBA’s target range of 2-3%, creating uncertainty about whether the next move will be a rate hike or a cut. This uncertainty is causing tension in the market, presenting opportunities for derivative traders. In the next few weeks, we expect increased market volatility ahead of the RBA’s first meeting of 2026. One strategy to consider is buying straddles on ASX 200 index futures. This allows us to profit from a significant market move in either direction, no matter what the RBA decides. This method lets us take advantage of the current uncertainty without betting on a specific outcome. For the Australian dollar, the strong remarks from RBA officials provide solid support, especially since commodity prices remain strong, with iron ore consistently trading above $110 per tonne. With the US Federal Reserve discussing potential rate cuts for mid-2026, it appears that the AUD/USD might have an upward trend. We could consider using call options on the currency to take advantage of this potential increase while managing our risk effectively.

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