Nasdaq March futures recently closed above micro level 1 at 25,794 after reclaiming the central pivot of 25,405 on December 19. This gain is part of an upward shift covering over 300 points. Currently, futures face a challenge at the descending resistance around micro level 2 at 26,036, which is critical for confirming a move into the upper structure.

Market Focus Changes

The market’s focus has shifted from recovery to sustaining momentum within its current structure. Important daily levels include the support at 25,794, resistance at 26,036, and the pivotal pivot at 25,405, which is important if the market drops. These key points guide the broader framework and are useful for long-term positioning. Looking at the 15-minute chart, the higher rotation from micro level 4 at 24,924 has maintained momentum above the central pivot of 25,514. Micro level 1 at 25,739 has held as support, promoting further upward movement. However, the intraday structure remains two-sided. Important intraday levels involve staying above the central pivot and watching the 25,739–25,879 zone for potential gains. If prices fall below 25,514, attention will shift to lower levels. As we approach the end of 2025, Nasdaq futures are testing a crucial area. The market has moved into the upper half of its recent range but is hesitant near the 26,036 resistance level. This comes after the Federal Reserve’s mid-December meeting, which maintained interest rates but indicated the inflation fight is ongoing. For traders hoping to see an uptrend, it’s essential that prices stay above the 25,794 support level. A sustained move above the significant resistance at 26,036 would confirm higher prices and suggest a strong start to 2026. This would mean the market has processed recent economic data and is still poised for growth.

Resistance and Market Reactions

This hesitation is understandable, given that November 2025 Core CPI data came in at 3.1%, slightly above the 3.0% consensus. This persistent inflation is why the resistance around 26,036 is challenging to break. It leads traders to take profits rather than push for more gains before year-end. Conversely, if the market fails to hold above 25,794, it would indicate weakness. Attention would then shift to the central pivot at 25,405, signaling the market may not be ready to continue rising. A break of this support level would present opportunities for short-term sellers, suggesting a rotational environment. While we’ve seen significant year-end rallies before, like the one that closed 2023, current price movements feel more cautious. The gains since the lows in October 2025 have been substantial, and now the market is testing whether it can maintain that momentum. Lower trading volumes during the holiday week could lead to sharp shifts on little news. Therefore, the immediate focus should be on price action around the intraday pivot of 25,514. Holding above this level keeps the bullish structure intact, while a drop below would favor sellers in the short term. This is not the time for big predictions, but for responding to how the market behaves at these key levels. Create your live VT Markets account and start trading now.

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