Japan’s industrial output falls by 2.7% in November, missing expectations of 2.6%

    by VT Markets
    /
    Jan 19, 2026
    Japan’s industrial production in November fell by 2.7% from the previous month, slightly more than the predicted drop of 2.6%. This data sheds light on how the country’s industrial sector performed during that time. The Euro strengthened against the Dollar, rising above 1.1600, after U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariff threats against European countries. The GBP/USD pair also gained strength, reaching around 1.3400 due to these tariff concerns.

    Gold Rises as Investors Seek Safe Haven Assets

    Gold hit a new high, reaching about $4,700, as global markets looked for safe-haven assets. The surge in gold demand was driven by geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties related to the tariff issues. Meme coins like Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe fell around 3% recently, continuing their downward trend. These cryptocurrencies are currently trading below critical moving averages and are trying to find immediate support. The market is reacting swiftly to new geopolitical risks. Investors are fleeing to safety as U.S. tariff threats against Europe unsettle them, pushing gold to an all-time high of around $4,700 an ounce. This situation is reminiscent of tariff talks in 2018 and 2019, which caused extended periods of market fluctuations.

    Implied Volatility and Derivative Strategies

    This uncertainty has caused implied volatility to rise, with the VIX index jumping over 30% to remain above 22. Traders in derivatives should consider strategies that profit from significant price shifts, like long straddles or buying VIX call options. The sharp decline in equities, with the S&P 500 down almost 4% last week, suggests put options might provide valuable protection against further losses. Despite weak domestic data, the Japanese Yen is holding strong. Although the report showed a 2.7% decline in industrial production for November—marking the third consecutive monthly drop—this would typically weaken a currency. However, a hawkish stance from the Bank of Japan, driven by ongoing inflation seen throughout late 2025, is overshadowing the poor growth statistics, making JPY call options an appealing hedge. While the EUR/USD and GBP/USD pairs have increased, we need to be cautious about the sustainability of this rise. The U.S. dollar is weakening against European currencies affected by the tariffs, but its overall safe-haven status may quickly regain strength. Strategies betting on a reversal, such as buying puts on the Euro, could be attractive if the situation worsens. The risk-off sentiment is adversely impacting the most speculative assets. Meme coins and Bitcoin are declining sharply, showing that traders are shedding risk universally. This broad selling pressure supports a defensive strategy for the upcoming weeks. Create your live VT Markets account and start trading now.

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