In January, the Eurozone’s ZEW Survey showed economic sentiment exceeded predictions, with an actual reading of 40.8.

    by VT Markets
    /
    Jan 20, 2026
    The Eurozone ZEW survey for January shows economic sentiment is higher than expected. The actual figure is 40.8, beating the forecast of 35.2. This suggests that financial market participants have a positive view of the Eurozone economy. The improved sentiment may come from recent monetary policy, economic data, and market trends. This increase could support the Euro as traders respond to these positive signs in their decisions.

    Geopolitical Tensions and Trade Issues

    Given the current geopolitical tensions and trade problems, this rise in sentiment can benefit Eurozone economies. It indicates a more optimistic outlook for the region, which could influence trading strategies and asset flows. Traders and analysts will pay close attention to upcoming data and sentiment changes to gauge the health of the Eurozone economy. These factors will impact currency values and investment strategies in the future. The unexpected strength in this month’s ZEW survey signals growing confidence in the Eurozone’s economic direction. This surprise suggests that the market might be undervaluing the potential for growth. For derivative traders, this could be a good time to consider bullish positions, such as buying call options on the Euro or major European stock indices. This optimism is especially noteworthy as Eurostat’s final figures for December 2025 indicated core inflation remains stubbornly at 2.4%, preventing the ECB from hinting at any rate cuts. The positive sentiment shows that investors believe the bloc can manage these higher rates without interrupting the recovery we began to see in the second half of last year. We may see an increase in demand for futures contracts on indices like the German DAX, which recently closed near a six-month high.

    Impact on Market Volatility

    This positive data may also impact market volatility. As sentiment improves, we might observe a drop in the implied volatility of options on the EUR/USD currency pair, which has been high. This scenario could make strategies like selling cash-secured puts more appealing for generating income, assuming the bullish trend continues. Looking ahead into early 2026, this shift feels significant compared to the cautious tone that prevailed in much of 2025. Last year was marked by risk aversion linked to energy price uncertainties and manufacturing slowdowns. Traders should keep an eye on the upcoming preliminary PMI data next week to see if this analyst optimism translates into real business activity. Create your live VT Markets account and start trading now.

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