In 2026, Red Cat Holdings, Inc. (RCAT) surged over 96%, approaching key double top resistance.

    by VT Markets
    /
    Jan 22, 2026
    Red Cat Holdings, Inc. has surged by over 96% in 2026 within the defense technology field. However, technical indicators hint at a potential exhaustion point as the stock nears a double top resistance level, often signaling a pause or pullback. The company is a leading player in the “small unmanned aircraft systems” industry, mainly through Teal Drones. They have significant defense contracts, including the U.S. Army’s Short Range Reconnaissance program, which has fueled recent enthusiasm. The stock showed a topping tail on the daily chart, suggesting aggressive selling after reaching intra-day highs. With current overbought conditions and a double top pattern, a pullback or consolidation is expected. The stock needs time to stabilize its bullish trend. For this to happen, the stock should: – Address overbought conditions. – Shake off momentum traders. – Build a support base for a strong breakout. Key levels include: – Double Top Resistance at $16.70, essential for confirming resistance. – Next Resistance at $17.35 for future targets. – Minor Support at $14.52 and Major Support at $12.15 for potential rebounds. Caution is advised at these levels, and it’s wise to wait for a basing period before aiming for the $17.35 target. Red Cat Holdings has seen a remarkable 96% increase this year, but the stock is now challenging a significant resistance around $16.70. This classic double-top pattern suggests the strong upward momentum may be slowing down. For traders, it signals a time for caution instead of chasing the stock at these heights. The recent rally was partly driven by a renewed focus on unmanned systems in the 2026 defense budget, building on the substantial drone funding seen in 2025. However, this excitement has pushed implied volatility on RCAT options above 120%, which makes them historically expensive. This high premium offers a unique chance for those selling options. Considering the overbought conditions, selling premium seems like a smart strategy for the next few weeks. We might think about selling out-of-the-money call credit spreads above the $17.35 resistance. This strategy profits if the stock remains flat, dips, or fails to break out convincingly. For those who believe in the long-term prospects but anticipate a healthy dip, selling cash-secured puts at or below the minor support level of $14.52 is a great option. This lets us collect premium while setting a goal to potentially acquire shares at a better price. If the stock doesn’t drop, we simply keep the income from the sale. We saw a similar situation back in late 2024, when the stock consolidated for over a month after a big run before continuing its upward trend. Observing how the price reacts around the major support at $12.15 will be crucial in the coming weeks. A strong bounce from this level would confirm that buyers are waiting for a better price before jumping back in for the next move up.

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