HSBC Composite PMI for India drops from 59.5 to 59.4 in January

    by VT Markets
    /
    Feb 4, 2026
    The HSBC Composite Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for India fell slightly to 59.4 in January from 59.5 in December. This figure combines results from both manufacturing and services and stays above the neutral mark of 50, which indicates growth rather than contraction. Despite the small drop, the index shows that India’s economy is still growing well. Strong consumer demand and business optimism are likely driving this steady expansion.

    Economic Indicators

    As the markets react to these numbers, many will keep an eye on future policies and trends that could affect the economic outlook. This report adds to ongoing discussions about India’s economic strength amidst global uncertainties and may influence market sentiments in the coming trading sessions. The January composite PMI of 59.4, although slightly lower, reaffirms that the Indian economy’s strong momentum continues into the new year. This ongoing growth helped push the Nifty 50 index above 26,500 for the first time last month. Derivative traders might consider strategies that leverage this strength, like buying call options on the index or selling out-of-the-money puts to earn premiums. This strong economic activity raises inflation concerns, shown by consumer price inflation around 5.6% in the last quarter of 2025. As a result, the Reserve Bank of India kept its key lending rate at 6.75% during its December meeting, indicating that rate cuts are not likely in the near term. Given this situation, traders may want to explore interest rate swaps to hedge or speculate on rates staying high in the coming months.

    Investment Opportunities

    India’s strong growth continues to attract global investors, with more than $8 billion in foreign portfolio inflows in the last quarter of 2025. This consistent capital inflow could put downward pressure on the USD/INR currency pair. Traders might think about selling USD/INR futures, but we should stay alert for any central bank actions aimed at slowing the rapid rise of the rupee. Create your live VT Markets account and start trading now.

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