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Recent Posts by davin

BNY’s Bob Savage says cooling January eurozone inflation supports euro rates, with services helping and energy holding them back

Inflation cooled in early 2025, opening ECB rate-cut hopes—then 2026 jumped to 2.4%. Sticky services and wages fuel uncertainty, boosting rate volatility and making hedges, options, and fewer cut bets vital. – vtmarketsmy.com

Wall Street looks to Nvidia’s earnings for clues on sustaining AI momentum and shaping market sentiment

All eyes on Nvidia earnings tonight: AI’s bellwether amid a shaky Nasdaq. Biggest catalyst is Q1 guidance—above $71B sparks a rally, below $70B sells off. Options volatility targets $211/$235, $164-$171. – vtmarketsmy.com

AUD/USD trades near 0.7090, up 0.42%, as faster Australian inflation boosts expectations of RBA tightening

Australian inflation surprised higher, lifting AUD/USD near 0.7090 as traders price more RBA tightening. Meanwhile US inflation cools, hinting Fed cuts. Policy divergence favors long AUD/USD, via options, futures, or volatility trades. – vtmarketsmy.com

Ahead of New York, S&P 500 futures lead gains; Nasdaq tests resistance and needs confirmation above the upper threshold

US futures steadied after a rebound: S&P leads above 6,909, Dow firm, Nasdaq lags under 25,186. Sticky 3.4% inflation pressures tech; watch Nasdaq resistance for breakout—or renewed divergence trades. – vtmarketsmy.com

ABN AMRO’s Quaedvlieg says a Warsh-led Fed may cut rates and adopt dovish guidance despite an upbeat outlook

ABN AMRO predicts 75bp Fed cuts to 3.00% by year-end, prioritizing jobs over inflation. A Warsh-led Fed may communicate less—boosting volatility. Traders: long SOFR, buy straddles, seek curve steepeners. – vtmarketsmy.com

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