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Recent Posts by davin

New Zealand’s fourth-quarter retail sales rose 0.9% quarter on quarter, beating analysts’ 0.6% forecast

New Zealand retail sales jumped 0.9% vs 0.6% expected, signaling resilient spending. That likely delays RBNZ rate cuts, supports a stronger NZ dollar, favors higher-for-longer swaps, NZD/AUD longs, and NZX volatility trades. – vtmarketsmy.com

On daily charts, technology is starting to outperform SPY, suggesting momentum may be improving

Tech is quietly beating the market despite CPI shocks, tariff hikes, and wild swings. QQQ is up vs SPY, but volatility and a strong dollar demand smaller trades, smarter spreads. – vtmarketsmy.com

DBS economist Chua Han Teng expects the PBOC to hold the one-year LPR at 3.00% as January data emerges

China’s central bank is likely to hold its key rate at 3.00% on Feb 24, prioritizing yuan stability and targeted support over broad cuts—keeping markets calm now, with easing expected late 2026. – vtmarketsmy.com

MUFG analysts say geopolitics, inflation and diverging monetary policy are driving Asian regional currency performance this week

Asia’s week hinges on geopolitics, inflation and central bank calls: Korea likely holds rates through 2026, Thailand may cut, China stays steady, and Australia’s CPI could support a hawkish AUD. – vtmarketsmy.com

UOB expects Bank Negara Malaysia to hold the OPR until 2026 as inflation stays stable and pressures remain contained

Malaysia inflation held at 1.6% as growth stayed solid, so Bank Negara likely keeps OPR at 2.75% through 2026. Expect calmer rates, FX divergence risk, and option opportunities. – vtmarketsmy.com

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