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Recent Posts by davin

America’s goods trade deficit widened to $99.3B in December, up from $86.9B previously

US goods trade deficit widened to $99.3B in December, signaling dollar weakness and slower growth. With retail sales down and yields falling, consider hedges: short USD, long Treasuries, buy VIX calls. – vtmarketsmy.com

US wholesale inventories rose 0.2% in December, matching analysts’ expectations and keeping stock levels steady across industries

US wholesale inventories rose 0.2% in December, exactly as forecast—no surprises. This steady signal hints at a calm, range-bound market, easing Fed pressure and favoring low-volatility, time-decay trades. – vtmarketsmy.com

US initial jobless claims four-week average slips to 219K from 219.5K on February 13

Jobless claims stayed ultra-low at 219,000—signaling a tight labor market. With inflation at 3.2%, the Fed likely keeps rates “higher for longer,” limiting stocks, supporting yields, and raising volatility-hedge appeal. – vtmarketsmy.com

In February, the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing survey rose to 16.3, beating forecasts of 8.5

Surprise Philly Fed surge to 16.3 (vs 8.5) signals stronger factories, cooling rate-cut bets. Expect firmer Treasury yields, stronger dollar, higher equity volatility; favor industrials/materials, use protective options. – vtmarketsmy.com

US initial jobless claims fell to 206K, beating forecasts of 225K in the mid-February release

Jobless claims hit 206K, far below 225K forecasts, signaling a tight labor market. With inflation sticky, rate cuts may slip to Q3. Traders eye bond puts and VIX options. – vtmarketsmy.com

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