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TD Securities expects December PCE inflation to strengthen, with core and headline rising 0.25% and 0.27% month over month, nearing 3% year over year

Inflation may be re-accelerating: TD Securities sees December PCE firming and tariffs lifting prices, keeping inflation sticky into early 2026. Markets are pricing fewer rate cuts, boosting volatility and hedging demand. – vtmarketsmy.com

In January, Canada’s headline CPI rose 2.3% year on year, below forecasts, while prices were unchanged month on month

Canada’s inflation cooled to 2.3%, easing pressure on the Bank of Canada to hike. With core still hot, cuts look unlikely—setting up a steady USD/CAD climb and tactical options trades. – vtmarketsmy.com

Pesole says the RBNZ’s November 2025 forecasts underplayed inflation as CPI data exceeded them, delaying rate cuts

New Zealand inflation is running hotter than the RBNZ expected, raising doubts about past rate cuts. ING now sees no February move, but forecasts earlier hikes: two in 2026, one in 2027. – vtmarketsmy.com

Canada’s core monthly CPI was unchanged at 0.2% in January, the same as the previous month

Canada’s core inflation stuck at 0.2% in January, keeping annual pace near 2.4%. Strong jobs and wages weaken rate-cut hopes, supporting CAD, pressuring stocks, and boosting volatility hedging demand. – vtmarketsmy.com

In January, Canada’s monthly CPI stayed flat at 0%, missing forecasts of a 0.1% rise

Canada’s January CPI was flat at 0%, missing forecasts. Markets now expect earlier Bank of Canada rate cuts, weakening the loonie, boosting stocks, rallying bonds, and favoring REIT/utility plays. – vtmarketsmy.com

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