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Inauguration Day 2025: Market Strategies for a Post-Trump 2.0 Landscape

“A new chapter, new policies, and new opportunities.”

Known for his bold policies and market-moving rhetoric, Trump 2.0 has traders on high alert for the opportunities and risks his administration may bring.

Let’s explore how this inauguration could impact the markets and how traders can prepare for the potential shifts ahead.

Trump’s Economic Focus and Policy Signals

Trump’s return to the presidency is expected to bring renewed focus on:

Fiscal Policies

Trump has announced plans to implement 25% tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico starting February 1, 2025, aiming to bolster domestic manufacturing and generate revenue through the newly proposed External Revenue Service.

On top of that, he has signed executive orders to open the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge for oil drilling and ease regulations on gas and oil production, declaring a National Energy Emergency to enhance electricity production.

These measures are intended to stimulate economic growth, particularly in the energy and manufacturing sectors.

Trade Relations

In line with his “America First” agenda, Trump has directed federal agencies to address U.S. trade deficits and unfair practices, with a focus on enforcing tariffs to revitalize American industry.

While no specific tariffs were detailed in his inaugural speech, the administration plans to assess China’s adherence to the 2020 “Phase 1” trade deal, which fell short due to the COVID-19 pandemic.

These actions signal potential shifts in trade agreements and international relations that could impact various sectors, including agriculture and technology.

Deregulation

Trump’s administration is expected to pursue significant deregulation across multiple industries. He has already signed orders to ease regulations on oil and gas production and has declared a National Energy Emergency to boost domestic energy output.

Furthermore, plans to cut federal regulations and promote fossil fuels indicate a broader strategy to reduce governmental oversight in sectors such as energy, finance, and technology.

This approach aims to foster a more business-friendly environment but may raise concerns regarding environmental protection and financial oversight.

Traders should prepare for immediate market reactions, especially following his inaugural address and early executive actions.

Managing Risks and Opportunities

Trump’s policies have historically been bold and polarising, increasing market volatility. Taking a page from experience during his first presidency, here are markets traders might benefit from watching:

Forex Markets

The USD is poised for significant volatility as fiscal and trade policies under Trump’s administration take shape. If proposed tax reforms and tariffs materialise, the dollar could strengthen on expectations of increased domestic investment and growth.

Against the EUR/USD, a stronger dollar could push the pair lower, particularly if the European Central Bank maintains its dovish stance on interest rates.

Conversely, any delays in implementing these policies or a rise in inflation concerns may weigh on the dollar, providing the euro an opportunity to gain.

The USD/JPY pair, closely tied to risk sentiment, may also see sharp movements. Increased international relations or uncertainty stemming from trade negotiations could weaken the dollar as traders flock to the safe-haven yen. However, any signs of progress on trade agreements or fiscal stimulus in the U.S. could boost dollar strength, pushing the pair higher.

Traders should monitor developments on tariffs, trade negotiations, and Federal Reserve guidance closely, as these factors will heavily influence dollar movements against major currency pairs.

Equities

Infrastructure and construction companies could see gains with increased government spending on public works projects, driving demand for materials and construction services.

Similarly, energy stocks, particularly those tied to domestic oil and gas production, may benefit from policies favouring fossil fuels and deregulation of the energy sector.

Healthcare equities could experience volatility as potential reforms to pharmaceutical pricing or changes to the Affordable Care Act unfold, creating both risks and opportunities for traders.

Defence and aerospace stocks stand to gain from increased government spending on military programs, aligning with the administration’s focus on strengthening national security.

On the other hand, technology companies with significant global supply chains may face challenges due to proposed trade restrictions and tariff policies, adding pressure to the sector.

As these industries respond to evolving priorities, traders should remain vigilant to capitalise on emerging trends and adjust portfolios accordingly.

Commodities

Gold, often viewed as a safe-haven asset, is likely to experience price swings driven by shifts in global risk sentiment and uncertainty surrounding Trump’s policies.

Any cross-border relations or concerns over inflation resulting from proposed economic reforms could further bolster demand for gold as traders seek stability.

Oil markets, closely tied to energy policies, may also see volatility. Policies favouring increased domestic production and potential changes to international trade agreements could impact global supply dynamics and influence oil prices.

Additionally, shifts in demand expectations, particularly from key consumers like China, and OPEC’s response to U.S. energy policies will play a critical role in shaping oil’s trajectory. Traders should closely monitor these factors for opportunities in the commodities market.

Strategies to Navigate Trump’s Inauguration

Political transitions require preparation and adaptability. Here’s how traders can position themselves:

Monitor Policy Announcements

Following Trump’s inauguration, his administration has already signalled bold moves, including new tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico, easing regulations on oil and gas production, and declaring a National Energy Emergency.

These developments are poised to reshape trade and energy markets, with potential ripple effects across equities, forex, and commodities.

Traders should stay alert to further announcements on trade agreements, tax reforms, and fiscal stimulus measures, as these policies could have immediate and far-reaching market impacts.

Hedge Against Volatility

Navigate high-volatility markets with caution by employing strategies like stop-loss orders to limit potential losses and using proper position sizing to manage risk exposure.

These tools can help safeguard your portfolio as markets react to evolving policies and economic shifts.

Identify Benefiting Sectors

Keep an eye on energy, infrastructure, and financials—sectors poised to benefit from Trump’s policy focus.

Deregulation efforts could boost energy and financial stocks, while increased infrastructure spending may drive growth in the construction and materials industries. These areas could see notable momentum as policies unfold.

Combine Fundamentals and Technicals

Merge macroeconomic insights with technical analysis to refine your trading strategies.

Trump’s inauguration is more than a political milestone—it’s a market-moving event. With potential shifts in fiscal policy, trade relations, and industry regulations, traders need to stay informed and agile.

Dividend Adjustment Notice – Jan 20,2025

Dear Client,

Please note that the dividends of the following products will be adjusted accordingly. Index dividends will be executed separately through a balance statement directly to your trading account, and the comment will be in the following format “Div & Product Name & Net Volume ”.

Please refer to the table below for more details:

The above data is for reference only, please refer to the MT4/MT5 software for specific data.

If you’d like more information, please don’t hesitate to contact [email protected].

Notification of Server Upgrade – Jan 17,2025

Dear Client,

As part of our commitment to provide the most reliable service to our clients, there will be MT4 & MT5 server maintenance this weekend.

MT4 & MT5 Maintenance Hours:
18th of January 2025 (Saturday) 00:00 to 03:00 (GMT+2)

Please note that the following aspects might be affected during the maintenance:
1. The price quote and trading management will be temporarily disabled during the maintenance. You will not be able to open new positions, close open positions, or make any adjustments to the trades.
2. There might be a gap between the original price and the price after maintenance. The gaps between Pending Orders, Stop Loss, and Take Profit will be filled at the market price once the maintenance is completed. It is suggested that you manage the account properly.

Please refer to the MT4 & MT5 software for the specific maintenance completion and marketing opening time.

Thank you for your patience and understanding about this important initiative.

If you’d like more information, please don’t hesitate to contact [email protected]

Dividend Adjustment Notice – Jan 17,2025

Dear Client,

Please note that the dividends of the following products will be adjusted accordingly. Index dividends will be executed separately through a balance statement directly to your trading account, and the comment will be in the following format “Div & Product Name & Net Volume ”.

Please refer to the table below for more details:

The above data is for reference only, please refer to the MT4/MT5 software for specific data.

If you’d like more information, please don’t hesitate to contact [email protected].

Dividend Adjustment Notice – Jan 16,2025

Dear Client,

Please note that the dividends of the following products will be adjusted accordingly. Index dividends will be executed separately through a balance statement directly to your trading account, and the comment will be in the following format “Div & Product Name & Net Volume ”.

Please refer to the table below for more details:

The above data is for reference only, please refer to the MT4/MT5 software for specific data.

If you’d like more information, please don’t hesitate to contact [email protected].

Aligning Your Portfolio with Your Values

“Profit with purpose.”

In a world where markets are constantly evolving, traders are looking beyond profits. Sustainable investing is more than a buzzword—it’s a powerful way to align your financial goals with your personal values. It’s about creating a portfolio that delivers returns while contributing to a better world.

From climate-conscious companies to ethical business practices, sustainable investing opens the door to opportunities that resonate with traders who want to make an impact. And the best part? You don’t have to sacrifice returns to do it.

What is Sustainable Investing?

Sustainable investing focuses on Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) factors to evaluate the long-term performance of companies and assets. It’s a strategy that prioritises businesses committed to:

  • Environmental Responsibility: Reducing carbon footprints, adopting clean energy, and promoting sustainability.
  • Social Equity: Supporting diversity, fair labour practices, and community engagement.
  • Strong Governance: Ensuring ethical leadership, transparency, and accountability.

By investing in ESG-compliant assets, you’re not just chasing profits—you’re driving positive change.

Why Go Sustainable?

For traders, sustainable investing offers a win-win opportunity. Here’s why it’s gaining traction:

  • Resilient Performance
    • ESG-focused companies often demonstrate stability during market downturns, making them a strong choice for long-term growth.
  • Ethical Alignment
    • Investing in businesses that reflect your values allows you to profit with a clear conscience.
  • Future-Ready Portfolio
    • As sustainability becomes a global priority, ESG assets are positioned for growth in the years to come.

Getting Started with Sustainable Investing

Shifting to sustainable investing is easier than you might think. Here’s how to make it work for you:

  • Research ESG-Compliant Assets
    • Look for companies or funds with strong ESG ratings. Many financial platforms provide detailed reports on ESG performance to help you make informed decisions.
  • Diversify Your Portfolio
    • Balance your investments across industries and asset classes to reduce risk while maintaining a focus on sustainability.
  • Align with Your Values
    • Choose industries that resonate with you, whether it’s renewable energy, healthcare, or tech innovation.
  • Monitor and Adapt
    • Stay updated on market trends and ESG developments to ensure your portfolio evolves with the times.

Myths About Sustainable Investing

Let’s clear up some common misconceptions:

  • Myth: Sustainable investing compromises returns.
    • Truth: ESG investments often match or outperform traditional assets over the long term.
  • Myth: It’s only for large investors.
    • Truth: Sustainable options are accessible to traders of all sizes, from retail to institutional.
  • Myth: It’s complicated.
    • Truth: With tools and resources like ESG ratings, investing sustainably is more straightforward than ever.

The VT Markets Edge

At VT Markets, we empower traders to explore ESG-focused opportunities with the same cutting-edge tools and platforms they trust. From forex to stocks, our ecosystem supports your journey toward sustainable success.

Final Thoughts

Sustainable investing isn’t just a financial strategy—it’s a mindset. By aligning your portfolio with your values, you can achieve your goals while contributing to a brighter future.

So, ask yourself: Are you ready to trade with purpose?

Why Long-Term Success Matters in Trading

“Trading isn’t a sprint—it’s a marathon.”

The allure of quick wins in trading is undeniable. Who doesn’t want to see immediate results? But here’s the reality: short-term victories rarely build lasting success. For sustainable profitability, you need to think big and adopt a long-term perspective.

Long-term trading isn’t about chasing market noise—it’s about steady, strategic growth. It requires patience, planning, and a focus on consistent results rather than impulsive gains. Traders who succeed over time know the secret: it’s not how fast you can win, but how well you can grow.

Why Focus on the Long Term?

Short-term trading may give you adrenaline-pumping moments, but it often comes with higher risks, stress, and unpredictability. Long-term strategies, on the other hand, allow you to:

  • Navigate Market Volatility: By zooming out, you can weather the ups and downs of the market without being shaken by daily fluctuations.
  • Build a Strong Foundation: Long-term trading helps you develop robust strategies, backed by research and data.
  • Benefit from Compounding: Over time, even modest gains can grow into significant profits thanks to compounding returns.

How to Adopt a Long-Term Mindset

Shifting to a long-term trading perspective isn’t just about holding positions longer—it’s a complete shift in how you approach the market. Here’s how to get started:

  • Set Clear Goals Define what success means for you. Are you looking for steady portfolio growth, income generation, or wealth preservation? Having clear goals keeps you focused on the bigger picture.
  • Diversify Your Portfolio Don’t put all your eggs in one basket. Spread your investments across asset classes, such as forex, commodities, and indices, to reduce risk and maximize opportunities.
  • Focus on Risk Management Protecting your capital is just as important as making profits. Use stop-loss orders, position sizing, and other risk management tools to safeguard your trades.
  • Refine Your Strategy Long-term trading success requires a well-researched and tested strategy. Stick to your plan and avoid emotional decision-making, even during market swings.

The Payoff of Thinking Big

Traders who prioritize long-term growth often find themselves in a stronger position to achieve financial freedom. Here’s why:

  • Steady Growth: Over time, consistent performance outshines sporadic big wins.
  • Lower Stress: With less focus on daily fluctuations, you can trade with a clear mind.
  • Stronger Discipline: Long-term trading builds patience and self-control, key traits of successful traders.

Success in trading isn’t about being the fastest—it’s about being the smartest. By thinking big and adopting a long-term perspective, you can build a trading journey that’s not only profitable but sustainable.

Remember: the markets reward patience, discipline, and strategy. The question is—are you ready to think big?

Dividend Adjustment Notice – Jan 15,2025

Dear Client,

Please note that the dividends of the following products will be adjusted accordingly. Index dividends will be executed separately through a balance statement directly to your trading account, and the comment will be in the following format “Div & Product Name & Net Volume ”.

Please refer to the table below for more details:

The above data is for reference only, please refer to the MT4/MT5 software for specific data.

If you’d like more information, please don’t hesitate to contact [email protected].

Dividend Adjustment Notice – Jan 14,2025

Dear Client,

Please note that the dividends of the following products will be adjusted accordingly. Index dividends will be executed separately through a balance statement directly to your trading account, and the comment will be in the following format “Div & Product Name & Net Volume”.

Please refer to the table below for more details:

The above data is for reference only, please refer to the MT4/MT5 software for specific data.

If you’d like more information, please don’t hesitate to contact [email protected].

Minggu Ini: BOJ Mempertimbangkan Polisi Hawkish

Gabenor Bank of Japan (BOJ), Ueda, telah menjelaskan bahawa sebarang keputusan mengenai pengetatan monetari akan bergantung pada data ekonomi yang lebih kukuh, terutamanya pertumbuhan gaji yang berterusan.

Dalam data terkini, Jepun menyaksikan peningkatan gaji asas tahunan terbesar dalam 32 tahun, dengan kenaikan 2.7% yang ketara tahun-ke-tahun pada bulan November. Gaji nominal, melebihi jangkaan, meningkat sebanyak 3%, menandakan pasaran buruh yang kukuh. Tidak termasuk bonus dan kerja lebih masa, gaji pekerja sepenuh masa meningkat sebanyak 2.8%, mengekalkan rentetan sihat selama 15 bulan di atas 2%. Pertumbuhan ini, jika berterusan melalui rundingan gaji musim bunga tahunan, boleh memaksa BOJ untuk mempertimbangkan semula pendirian dovishnya, memandangkan kenaikan gaji secara langsung mempengaruhi perbelanjaan isi rumah dan inflasi.

Rundingan akan datang yang diketuai oleh Rengo, persekutuan kesatuan sekerja terbesar di Jepun, akan mengambil tempat dengan pertaruhan yang tinggi. Rundingan tahun lalu mencetuskan kenaikan kadar pertama BOJ dalam 17 tahun. Dengan Rengo mendesak kenaikan lanjut, hasil tahun ini boleh meningkatkan tekanan inflasi, memaksa BOJ untuk menukar polisi. Ini diperkuatkan oleh usaha Perdana Menteri Shigeru Ishiba untuk menaikkan gaji minimum Jepun kepada ¥1,500 dalam tempoh lima tahun, yang mungkin menandakan persekitaran polisi yang memadankan gaji yang lebih tinggi dengan pembaharuan struktur.

Data perbelanjaan isi rumah mencerminkan perkembangan ini, menggambarkan ekonomi yang meningkat yang didorong oleh kenaikan gaji. Metrik penggunaan yang lebih kuat daripada jangkaan menggariskan sektor domestik yang berdaya tahan dan mengukuhkan naratif pemulihan Jepun. Jika trend ini berterusan, BOJ mungkin menghadapi tekanan yang meningkat untuk bertindak menjelang mesyuarat pada 24 Januari.

Senario pengetatan monetari boleh mempunyai implikasi yang mendalam untuk yen Jepun. Kita telah melihat bagaimana yen meningkat dengan langkah-langkah hawkish BOJ, terutamanya apabila dibandingkan dengan nada berhati-hati Federal Reserve terhadap kadar faedah.

Minggu Ini di Pasaran

Indeks Dollar US (USDX) terus menjadi tumpuan pelabur, mengakhiri minggu berhampiran paras kritikal 109.60. Konsolidasi ini mencadangkan potensi penerusan bullish jika indeks mengekalkan sokongan sekitar 109.00 atau 108.40. Walau bagaimanapun, sekiranya USDX mencuba swing high baru dan menghampiri rintangan 110.40, pedagang mungkin akan melihat corak bearish, menandakan kemungkinan pembalikan.

Untuk pasangan EUR/USD, momentum bearish menguasai keadaan, mendorong euro ke swing low baru sekitar 1.0200. Walaupun pedagang mungkin menjangkakan pantulan di tahap ini, konsolidasi di atas 1.0300 boleh mencetuskan tekanan jualan yang baru.

GBP/USD juga menunjukkan ketahanan sekitar 1.2200. Namun, dengan momentum bullish yang terhad, pound mungkin menghadapi rintangan yang ketara pada 1.2300 dan 1.2350, dengan 1.2120 sebagai zon sokongan berpotensi sekiranya berlaku pullback.

Dengan perkembangan minggu ini, pasangan USD/JPY menawarkan pergerakan sempit di atas zon jual kritikal 158.65 kerana sikap pedagang yang berhati-hati menjelang pengumuman BOJ. Sekiranya pasangan ini mengalami konsolidasi, kawasan yang harus diperhatikan berada berhampiran 156.80. Sebaliknya, penembusan melebihi 159.44 boleh mengalihkan sentimen ke arah kelemahan yen.

Mata wang yang berkaitan dengan komoditi seperti AUD/USD dan NZD/USD juga menyaksikan sentimen bearish yang diperbaharui minggu ini. Dollar Australia mencecah paras terendah baru, dengan konsolidasi dijangka berhampiran 0.6185 dan kemungkinan sokongan sekitar 0.6020. Dollar New Zealand mengikuti trajektori yang sama, dengan pedagang memantau setup bearish pada 0.5590 dan kemungkinan penembusan di bawah 0.5512 sebelum sebarang pemulihan.

Sementara itu, USD/CAD membuat keuntungan sederhana tanpa mencapai zon beli yang dipantau, menunjukkan kenaikan berterusan ke arah 1.4350. Walau bagaimanapun, jika pasangan ini bergerak untuk menguji paras tinggi 1.4559, pedagang mungkin mencari peluang bearish.

Minyak mentah mendaki melebihi paras 77.30 dan mengukuhkan momentum bullish. Walaupun konsolidasi harga berhampiran 73.30 boleh menawarkan peluang membeli, pasaran minyak tetap berhati-hati untuk menguji semula paras rendah sekitar 66.93 atau 65.50 sebelum sebarang pergerakan berterusan ke atas.

Harga emas kekal berhampiran 2685 tetapi menghadapi kesukaran untuk menarik penjual. Pedagang memantau 2700 dan 2710 sebagai tahap kritikal untuk tindakan bearish, manakala rali ke arah 2726.19 mungkin mengesahkan ketahanan logam berharga ini.

Apa Yang Berlaku Minggu Ini

Pada hari Selasa, Manufacturing PMI US dijangka menjadi tumpuan, dengan ramalan 0.4% yang sepadan dengan bacaan sebelumnya. Jika data memenuhi atau melebihi jangkaan, kami berpendapat ia akan menyokong USDX, yang telah menunjukkan tanda-tanda momentum ke atas. Keputusan yang lebih lemah boleh mendorong penilaian semula posisi bullish.

Hari Rabu akan mengalihkan tumpuan kepada data inflasi, dengan UK dan US mengeluarkan angka CPI mereka. Di UK, CPI diramalkan kekal stabil pada 2.6% tahun-ke-tahun. Sekiranya inflasi kekal atau lebih rendah, GBP/USD mungkin menghadapi tekanan ke bawah.

Sementara itu, CPI US dijangka meningkat kepada 2.9% daripada 2.7%. Peningkatan sedemikian kemungkinan besar akan memperkuat kekuatan dollar, mendorong USDX lebih dekat ke tahap utama seterusnya dan mungkin membebankan aset sensitif risiko seperti ekuiti dan komoditi.

Hari Khamis membawa data GDP untuk UK dan jualan runcit untuk US. Ramalan GDP UK sebanyak 0.2% menandakan pemulihan dari -0.1% sebelumnya. Jika ia menjadi kenyataan, ia boleh memberikan sokongan jangka pendek kepada pound, terutamanya jika GBP/USD menghampiri semula kawasan sokongan seperti 1.2120.

Di sisi US, jualan runcit dijangka perlahan sedikit kepada 0.6% dari 0.7%. Tinjauan yang lebih lemah ini mungkin meredakan kenaikan dollar, tetapi banyak bergantung pada konteks risiko yang lebih luas dan trend inflasi.

Dengan tiada pelepasan ekonomi utama dijadualkan pada hari Isnin atau Jumaat, pengeluaran data pertengahan minggu akan menjadi penting dalam menentukan arah pasaran.

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