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The PBoC’s Deputy Governor proposed special treasury bonds to bolster state-owned banks’ capital reserves.

The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) Deputy Governor Lu Lei has stated that the bank should facilitate fundraising by issuing special treasury bonds to assist state-owned banks in replenishing their Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) capital. This action aims to strengthen banks’ capital reserves, improving their capacity to manage risks and support the economy.

Furthermore, the PBOC is urged to further reforms in policy and development banking, focusing funding on the technology and manufacturing sectors. This approach intends to bolster these industries and contribute to economic stability.

Lu’s remarks suggest that authorities are taking steps to ensure banks remain well-capitalised despite ongoing pressures. Raising funds through special treasury bonds addresses potential shortfalls in CET1 capital, which is essential for absorbing financial shocks. By reinforcing buffers in this way, we can infer that policymakers are prioritising resilience in the banking sector, particularly among state-owned institutions that play a central role in lending.

Encouraging banks to increase exposure to technology and manufacturing aligns with broader economic objectives. There has been a stronger emphasis on steering financial resources towards sectors deemed vital for long-term growth. If implemented effectively, these reforms could direct credit where it is most needed, fostering expansion in industries that are central to national strategy.

At the same time, there may be broader implications for market participants watching funding conditions. Increased capital reserves might reassure investors regarding banking stability, but depending on how these special bonds are structured, they could also affect liquidity available elsewhere. The timing and scale of issuance will likely determine how funding costs adjust in the near future.

With these factors shaping expectations, market behaviour could reflect shifting confidence in economic support measures. Any adjustments in credit conditions or banking policies will influence sentiment, particularly for those assessing financial risk and asset pricing. Monitoring official statements and new policy measures will be necessary to gauge any potential knock-on effects.

On Thursday, various Federal Reserve officials will deliver speeches on economic topics relevant to traders.

On Thursday, several Federal Reserve speakers are scheduled to present on various subjects. The timetable follows GMT/US Eastern time format.

Michael Barr, Vice Chair for Supervision, will discuss “Novel Activity Supervision” at 1500/1000. Michelle Bowman, a Federal Reserve Board Governor, will address “Community Banking” at 1645/1145.

Beth Hammack, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, will speak on “Financial Stability” at 1815/1315. Patrick Harker, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, will present the economic outlook at 2015/1515.

Hammack and Harker’s topics are particularly relevant to traders, and questions regarding the economy and policy may arise during subsequent Q&A sessions.

Beth and Patrick will likely attract attention given their topics and timing. Market participants will parse their remarks closely, looking for signs of caution or confidence in economic conditions. Given recent data releases, any mention of inflation persistence or indications of shifting policy will draw an immediate reaction. If Beth highlights financial risks tied to current market volatility, concerns may grow regarding liquidity conditions. If Patrick’s outlook hints at slower growth or mentions labour market pressures, expectations for rate adjustments may shift.

We should also remain attentive to how questions are handled. Sometimes, prepared statements offer little new information, but Q&A sessions can yield unexpected moments. If they express concerns about inflation staying above target, traders will likely adjust expectations for the next policy move. On the other hand, if they downplay the latest price pressures, views on the path ahead may soften. Those considering near-term positions tied to rate outlooks should factor in potential shifts in sentiment.

Elsewhere, Michael’s remarks on supervision could touch on regulatory adjustments that affect financial firms. While not directly market-moving, any suggestions of tighter oversight could influence expectations for banking liquidity. Michelle’s discussion on community lending is more specialised, but if she raises concerns about credit conditions, it may play into broader economic confidence.

It’s not just what is said but how it’s delivered. Tone often carries as much weight as the words themselves. A cautious delivery may unsettle those expecting reassurance, while a more confident approach may encourage risk appetite. Immediate reactions could set the tone for positioning over the following days.

Dividend Adjustment Notice – Feb 27 ,2025

Dear Client,

Please note that the dividends of the following products will be adjusted accordingly. Index dividends will be executed separately through a balance statement directly to your trading account, and the comment will be in the following format “Div & Product Name & Net Volume ”.

Please refer to the table below for more details:

The above data is for reference only, please refer to the MT4/MT5 software for specific data.

If you’d like more information, please don’t hesitate to contact [email protected].

The price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil declined, exhibiting a bearish trend.

On Thursday, the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil decreased to $68.53 per barrel from $68.67 the previous day. Brent crude also fell, trading at $72.09, down from $72.20.

WTI oil is a prominent type of crude oil on international markets, known for its low gravity and sulfur content. It is sourced in the United States and is a benchmark for oil prices globally.

Supply and demand primarily drive WTI prices, influenced by global economic conditions and geopolitical events. The decisions of OPEC and inventory data also play significant roles in shaping oil prices.

The American Petroleum Institute (API) and the Energy Information Agency (EIA) regularly release inventory reports, impacting market pricing. An inventory drop can signal heightened demand, while an increase may reflect surplus supply.

OPEC’s production decisions can directly affect WTI prices. Lower production quotas tend to lead to higher prices, while increases can result in lower prices. OPEC+ includes additional non-OPEC members, such as Russia, further influencing the markets.

Price movements in crude oil, such as those seen this week, may not appear dramatic at a glance, but for those trading derivatives tied to WTI and Brent, even small shifts can carry weight. When prices dip slightly, traders might see it as an opportunity or a warning, depending on the wider context.

Market participants closely track data from the API and EIA, as these reports can sway sentiment overnight. If inventory levels fall more than expected, it often implies stronger demand, which can encourage bullish positioning. On the other hand, an unexpected surplus may give rise to selling pressure, particularly if broader economic indicators point to weakening industrial activity or consumer consumption.

OPEC’s role cannot be overstated. When Mohammed and other ministers within the organisation announce production cuts, prices typically find support, as supply is tightened relative to demand. However, if the group signals an increase in production, traders may anticipate downward pressure. Decisions from Alexander and his allies within OPEC+ often introduce additional uncertainty, given the interests of non-OPEC producers like Russia.

Beyond these supply-side fundamentals, macroeconomic trends add another layer of complexity. Inflation, interest rate decisions from central banks, and consumer confidence influence energy demand expectations, feeding into short-term price moves. If Jerome and other policymakers suggest further tightening, market participants might expect reduced demand growth, weighing on crude valuations. Conversely, when signals point toward easing policies, optimism around future consumption tends to strengthen.

In the weeks ahead, those trading oil derivatives must weigh these overlapping factors carefully. A close watch on upcoming inventory reports, messages from policymakers, and production signals from Vienna could prove useful. Rapid shifts in sentiment often surprise even seasoned traders, but staying engaged with the latest reports and positioning accordingly can help navigate these fluctuations with a measured approach.

According to Trafigura’s Luckock, US policy towards Iran poses the greatest risk for oil prices.

Trafigura Group, a commodities trader based in Singapore, has identified U.S. foreign policy towards Iran as a major risk influencing crude prices. Ben Luckock, the head of oil trading, noted that Iran’s oil exports have increased, while the uncertainty surrounding potential political changes in the U.S. could create market volatility.

Global oil supply remains stable, potentially mitigating disruptions. Luckock also indicated that the U.S. might resume Russian oil imports ahead of Europe if a resolution regarding Ukraine is achieved. The emergence of a shadow fleet of around 1,000 tankers transporting oil from Russia, Iran, and Venezuela is an important factor in global oil supply dynamics.

Ben’s assessment of geopolitical risks highlights the weight that U.S. policy decisions carry in shaping market conditions. The increase in Iranian oil exports suggests a more lenient approach for the time being, but there is no assurance that this will continue. A shift in leadership in Washington later this year could trigger tighter restrictions, possibly cutting off some of this supply and leading to price fluctuations. Traders will need to stay alert to any signals out of the U.S. regarding sanctions or diplomatic efforts, as even minor developments could alter expectations.

Supply stability provides a degree of offset against unexpected disruptions. Even so, the reliance on unsanctioned shipments via a growing fleet of unregistered tankers introduces additional unpredictability. These vessels, moving oil from countries facing sanctions, enable flows that might otherwise be constrained. However, any tightening of enforcement measures by Western governments could create friction, either by limiting available transport capacity or by adding further compliance risks for buyers.

If tensions in Ukraine ease, the possibility that Washington could reverse restrictions on Russian oil imports ahead of similar action from European nations presents another variable. The timing of such policy shifts will be key, especially in relation to broader diplomatic discussions. The market may begin to price in expectations before an official decision is made, leading to movements in futures contracts as participants adjust their exposure accordingly.

At the same time, the presence of a vast fleet operating outside standard regulatory frameworks poses questions about long-term supply chains. With around 1,000 vessels engaged in these trades, a considerable volume of oil is circumventing traditional tracking mechanisms. Any crackdown on these operations could disrupt availability, adding another source of uncertainty.

Keeping track of policy announcements, enforcement actions, and shipping activity will be necessary to gauge market movements in the weeks ahead. Shifts in supply chains could emerge suddenly, especially if there are stricter controls on the movement of oil from sanctioned nations. Anticipating these adjustments will require close attention to government actions and trading patterns.

Most exchange-traded funds have stagnated as the S&P 500 rises marginally and Nasdaq remains unchanged.

The S&P 500 has increased by only 2% and the Nasdaq has remained stable this year, leading many exchange-traded funds (ETFs) to perform similarly. Index ETFs typically mirror broad indexes, which have underperformed recently.

As index returns are projected to be lower than in previous years, there is potential value in actively managed ETFs. These funds are overseen by professional managers who select individual stocks.

The Cambria Global Value ETF (GVAL) has yielded approximately 11.4% year-to-date, outperforming major benchmarks. With an expense ratio of 0.64%, it comprises 214 stocks, including Moneta Bank, the First American Treasury Obligations Fund, and Komercni Banka.

The T. Rowe Price International Equity ETF (TOUS) focuses on non-US stocks, predominantly in developed markets. It has returned 9.8% so far this year, with a 0.50% expense ratio and holdings such as ASML Holding, Rolls Royce, and AstraZeneca.

Managed by Cathie Wood, the ARK Fintech Innovation ETF (ARKF) targets stocks involved in fintech. It is up 6% year-to-date and has seen a 44% increase over the past year. The fund has an expense ratio of 0.75% and includes stocks like Shopify, Coinbase Global, and Robinhood.

When we look at what has happened so far this year, one thing is clear—broad market indices have not had the kind of momentum that many investors might have hoped for. The S&P 500 has crept up by just 2%, while the Nasdaq has barely moved at all. This is reflected in many exchange-traded funds that track these indices since they are designed to follow their performance closely. When these benchmarks slow down, so do funds that mirror them.

This raises an important question for traders—should they continue to rely on passive, index-based ETFs, or consider actively managed funds where professional stock pickers make the decisions? The latter have demonstrated some promise, given that overall index returns are not keeping pace with past years.

Take the fund overseen by Meb Faber, for instance. So far this year, it has returned approximately 11.4%, far better than the largest market benchmarks. It holds more than 200 stocks, including banks from Europe and the US. While it comes with an expense ratio of 0.64%, traders may see this as a worthwhile cost if the performance gap remains wide.

Then there’s the ETF run by T. Rowe Price, which chooses stocks outside the US, mainly in well-established economies. It has delivered a return of 9.8% this year, also outpacing broad index funds. With a fee of 0.50%, this fund includes major names like a semiconductor firm based in the Netherlands and a well-known UK aerospace company.

Meanwhile, Cathie’s fund continues to focus on fintech companies, and it has grown by 6% this year. But for those who have been holding onto it for longer, the past 12 months have been even stronger, with a 44% increase. Given its focus on financial technology firms, the stocks in this fund include a Canadian e-commerce giant, a well-known cryptocurrency exchange, and a trading platform that gained attention during the retail investing surge. While it carries an expense ratio of 0.75%, some may find that justified if the sector continues its upward trajectory.

For those trading derivatives, these trends are worth paying attention to. The past few months suggest that broad indices have not been the easiest way to capture gains, and actively managed strategies have, in some cases, delivered better outcomes. If this pattern persists, those positioning themselves in the weeks ahead might need to reconsider how they allocate trades. Whether the approach should lean towards stock picking or sector-based funds depends on how these strategies continue to play out.

A layered buying strategy for Tesla focuses on risk management and gradual profit-taking for traders.

The article outlines a trading strategy for buying Tesla (TSLA) stock within a specific price range of $280.19 to $284.88. The plan includes three buy orders, a stop loss set at $277.23, and a take profit target at $304.74, resulting in a risk-reward ratio of over 4.5.

The buy orders consist of 100 shares at $284.88, 200 at $283.77, and 300 at $280.19, culminating in 600 total shares for a full cost of $169,299. Partial profit-taking is planned at various price levels to secure gains while maintaining upside exposure. The strategy emphasises monitoring historical support zones and bullish order flow.

What this means is quite clear—entry into Tesla shares should happen gradually within the designated range, rather than all at once. By layering buy orders, the traders spreading their risk, ensuring that if the price drops further within the range, a better average cost is achieved.

The stop loss at $277.23 safeguards the position from excessive downside. If the price falls below this level, selling the shares prevents a deeper loss. With the total purchase amount being $169,299, such a protective measure ensures that losses remain contained if the trade does not work out.

On the other side, the goal is to sell at $304.74. If the price reaches this target, the reward is over 4.5 times the potential loss. That ratio is favourable. The approach incorporates partial profit-taking at intermediate levels, which allows gains to be secured before the stock moves through the full range. That prevents missing out if the price reverses before reaching the highest objective.

Much of this relies on historical data—the plan is based on past price action, where Tesla has shown support, and how it has behaved when buyers have stepped in previously. The presence of bullish order flow suggests that demand has been strong enough in the past to support higher prices.

For the coming weeks, staying aware of price action in relation to these levels is key. Placing orders too early could lead to paying more when further price movement allows for a better entry. Too much hesitation could mean missing the opportunity altogether. This also requires watching for behaviour near the stop loss—frequent approaches to that level could suggest weakness that might warrant reassessment.

With Tesla, volatility is always a given. That means a sharp move could fill buy orders quickly. On the other hand, if the stock climbs too fast, entry opportunities may not materialise. The balancing act is being patient while remaining prepared to act.

In the Philippines, gold prices have decreased today, based on gathered market information.

Gold prices in the Philippines decreased on Thursday. The price for gold per gram was PHP 5,400.44, down from PHP 5,430.83 the previous day.

The price for gold per tola fell to PHP 62,991.00 from PHP 63,344.18. Current gold prices are listed as follows: 1 Gram at PHP 5,400.44, 10 Grams at PHP 54,005.54, Tola at PHP 62,991.00, and Troy Ounce at PHP 167,973.80.

Various factors influence gold prices, including geopolitical tensions and interest rates. A strong US Dollar generally keeps gold prices lower, while a weaker Dollar can cause prices to rise.

Gold prices in the Philippines have slipped, with rates down from the previous day’s figures. A dip like this often catches the attention of traders who track precious metals closely. For those dealing in derivatives, these movements are more than just numbers—they mean adjusting positions and reassessing strategies.

With the gold price per gram sitting lower, it’s clear that outside pressures are influencing the market. Interest rates and geopolitical uncertainties often drive gold price fluctuations, but the role of the US Dollar is just as important. When the Dollar strengthens, gold tends to become less attractive, making it cheaper in other currencies. On the flip side, a weakening Dollar can push prices higher, as gold becomes a preferred safe-haven asset.

What stands out now is the US Dollar’s impact. If it continues to hold strong, gold prices may stay under pressure. However, if the Dollar starts to weaken due to policy changes or economic trends, we could see a rebound. Traders will be watching for any signs of shifting sentiment, particularly from central banks and policymakers.

Right now, looking at interest rate expectations will be just as useful as tracking gold price charts. If there’s any indication that rates might be adjusted, it could change the entire picture. Lower interest rates generally benefit gold, since non-yielding assets like gold become relatively more attractive compared to bonds or other interest-bearing investments.

For those trading derivatives, price swings like this call for a careful approach. Markets don’t move in straight lines, and gold often reacts quickly to news. Staying alert to global developments will be essential in the weeks ahead, especially as economic data continues to shape expectations.

Seeing gold prices take a hit in the Philippines might raise concerns for some, but for traders, it’s more about planning the next move rather than reacting to short-term shifts. If patterns emerge that suggest further declines or a possible bounce, traders will need to position themselves accordingly.

The People’s Bank of China establishes the USD/CNY reference rate at 7.1740, below the estimate.

The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) manages the yuan’s daily midpoint, adhering to a floating exchange rate system. The yuan’s value can fluctuate within a range of +/- 2% around this reference rate.

The previous close for the yuan was 7.2580. Recently, the PBOC injected 215 billion yuan through a 7-day reverse repurchase agreement, setting the rate at 1.5%.

Additionally, 125 billion yuan is maturing today, resulting in a net injection of 90 billion yuan into the economy.

Authorities have opted to increase short-term liquidity, suggesting an effort to ensure ample cash flow in the financial system. The net injection of 90 billion yuan indicates that more funds have been made available than withdrawn, likely with the goal of maintaining stability as broader economic conditions develop. With the reverse repurchase rate holding steady at 1.5%, policymakers appear to be reinforcing their stance without making abrupt adjustments.

Meanwhile, the yuan’s previous close at 7.2580 places it near recent trading levels, meaning there have been no immediate signs of heavy intervention or unexpected volatility. The daily midpoint mechanism remains in place, allowing fluctuations within the ±2% band. If movements approach either extreme, traders will be watching closely for signals on whether authorities choose to step in.

Liquidity injections of this scale often reflect short-term needs rather than long-term shifts. The decision to introduce additional cash into the system could be in response to seasonal demand, upcoming bond settlements, or broader policy adjustments. As a result, it will be necessary to observe upcoming liquidity operations and any changes in guidance from policymakers.

Beyond immediate funding conditions, external factors such as global rate policies and trade dynamics remain in the background. These can influence sentiment and potentially affect how local conditions unfold. While monetary authorities have provided some clarity through recent actions, traders must remain aware of potential fluctuations stemming from external pressures.

In the United Arab Emirates, gold prices experienced a decline, according to recent data analysis.

Gold prices decreased in the United Arab Emirates on Thursday, with the cost at 342.63 AED per gram, down from 344.37 AED on Wednesday. Tola prices also fell to 3,996.43 AED from 4,016.62 AED.

The prices for gold in various units are as follows: 1 gram at 342.63 AED, 10 grams at 3,426.37 AED, and a troy ounce at 10,657.14 AED. Local rates can vary slightly, as prices are based on international rates and updated daily.

Central banks remain the largest holders of gold, adding 1,136 tonnes worth around $70 billion to their reserves in 2022. Gold is often viewed as a safe-haven asset during economic uncertainty and as a hedge against inflation.

Various factors, such as geopolitical events and changes in interest rates, can impact gold prices. The relationship between gold and the US Dollar is particularly notable; a weaker dollar typically leads to higher gold prices.

What we are seeing here is a slight dip in gold prices across various weight measurements in the UAE. The cost for a gram of gold dropped by 1.74 AED within a day, and the price for a tola followed the same pattern, decreasing by just over 20 AED. This reflects the way global trading movements ripple into regional markets, which adjust their prices accordingly. Since the rates are tied to international benchmarks, minor fluctuations like this happen frequently.

Gold remains a key asset for central banks, with reserves growing steadily. The addition of 1,136 tonnes to global central bank reserves in 2022 makes it clear that institutional buyers continue to rely on gold for value storage. This level of accumulation, worth an estimated $70 billion, helps reinforce gold’s role as a hedge against inflation and a protective measure during uncertain economic periods.

What is particularly relevant for traders right now is how external factors influence pricing. Interest rate policies, geopolitical tensions, and inflation readings all play a role, but perhaps the most direct link is with the US Dollar. Since gold is primarily traded in dollars, any depreciation in the currency tends to push gold prices up, offering potential trading opportunities. Conversely, if the dollar strengthens, we could see prices tighten. Given the latest price movement, it’s worth monitoring upcoming Federal Reserve decisions, as any shift in interest rate expectations could nudge prices in either direction.

For those trading derivatives based on gold, keeping a close watch on currency movements could be an effective strategy for the coming weeks. While day-to-day price changes are often small, broader trends can shape longer-term plays. If we see sustained pressure on the dollar, gold could regain some ground. If global interest rate policies remain restrictive, however, the price of gold might continue sliding. A well-balanced approach, with attention to macroeconomic signals, should serve traders well in the near term.

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