Live Updates

    14 February 2026
    MUFG’s Michael Wan says the interim US–India deal helps India externally and may limit the rupee’s rise above 90

    US–India trade deal tariff cuts may briefly lift the rupee: USD/INR could dip under 90, targeting 89.50 by Q1 2026. But FDI outflows and deficits may drive 93.00 by end-2026. – vtmarketsmy.com

    14 February 2026
    Commerzbank analysts say Singapore’s 2026 Budget boosts supply-side support, SME expansion, and equity market funding initiatives

    Singapore’s 2026 Budget aims to boost SMEs and capital markets, bolstering SGD strength. USD/SGD nears decade lows as traders price more SGD gains amid record equities and low volatility. – vtmarketsmy.com

    14 February 2026
    MUFG analysts say easing and reflation steer the yuan as CPI dips after holiday effects and PPI improves

    China’s inflation looks artificially weak after holiday effects, but reflation remains slow. With GDP at 4.5%, PBOC may ease further, nudging USD/CNY higher—watch February 20. – vtmarketsmy.com

    14 February 2026
    Standard Chartered’s Tommy Wu raises Hong Kong’s 2026 GDP growth forecast to 3.2%, citing momentum and sentiment

    Hong Kong’s 2026 growth outlook just jumped to 3.2%, fueled by finance and rising confidence. With softer HIBOR early, expect stronger equities, retail, housing, and IPO-driven volatility—options and rates trades beckon. – vtmarketsmy.com

    14 February 2026
    UOB economists say Malaysia’s 2025 growth hit 5.2% as fourth-quarter GDP rose 6.3% year on year

    Malaysia surged: 4Q25 GDP hit 6.3%, full-year 5.2%, easing to 4.5% in 2026. Domestic demand, tourism, AI help; US tariffs threaten tech; hedges and selective domestic plays. – vtmarketsmy.com

    14 February 2026
    After softer US inflation data, silver rebounded from $74 and rose 2.5% to $77.20, but was down for the week

    Silver jumped 2.5% to $77.20 after soft US inflation, but stays down weekly. Watch $75 and $64 support, $80 resistance. Sticky inflation could weigh, while solar demand supports a range. – vtmarketsmy.com

    14 February 2026
    U.S. CFTC data show non-commercial net oil positions fell to 117.8K from 124.6K

    Oil bulls are backing off: CFTC net longs fell to 117.8K from 124.6K as weak global PMI and rising U.S. inventories fuel bearish risk—consider hedges before WTI tests $70. – vtmarketsmy.com

    14 February 2026
    Eurozone CFTC data shows non-commercial euro net positions rose from 163.4K to 180.3K

    Speculators just boosted euro net longs to 180.3K—highest in six months—hinting at a euro rally. Firm Eurozone inflation vs weak US sales fuels optimism, but crowded positioning risks sharp reversals. – vtmarketsmy.com

    14 February 2026
    Australia’s CFTC non-commercial net AUD positions rose from 26.1K to 33.2K in the latest report

    Speculators just boosted bullish AUD bets: CFTC net longs jumped to 33.2K from 26.1K. Strong China data, firm commodities, and RBA-vs-Fed rate divergence fuel AUD/USD upside. – vtmarketsmy.com

    14 February 2026
    US CFTC data showed S&P 500 non-commercial net positions rose to -105.1K from -132.9K.

    CFTC data shows S&P 500 speculators are cutting shorts: net positions improved to -105.1K from -132.9K. Cooling CPI (2.9%) may spur short-covering, hinting at a 2022-style rally. – vtmarketsmy.com

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