Live Updates

    13 February 2026
    TD Securities’ strategists say that escalating tensions in the Middle East and Iran-related scenarios could change oil price risks

    Oil’s “Iran risk” could swing Brent from a bearish new deal to war-driven spikes above $100–120. With Brent $88 and volatility rising, traders hedge with puts, call spreads, straddles. – vtmarketsmy.com

    13 February 2026
    Sterling holds near 1.3600 against the dollar after four days of losses ahead of the US inflation release

    Pound slips to 1.3600 as traders await US CPI—again. In 2025, “easing inflation” was wrong, dollar surged, and support broke. With strong US jobs, consider hedging GBP downside. – vtmarketsmy.com

    13 February 2026
    Rabobank’s Bas van Geffen says EU leaders are weighing a multi-speed union to boost reforms and competitiveness

    EU leaders eye a “multi‑speed” union to boost competitiveness, possibly via enhanced cooperation and a new corporate “28th regime.” Markets brace for divergence: higher volatility, widening bond spreads, and euro swings. – vtmarketsmy.com

    13 February 2026
    US CPI annual inflation eased to 2.4% in January, below the 2.5% forecast, BLS reported

    Inflation just cooled: US CPI fell to 2.4% in January, below forecasts, nudging the dollar lower. But core stayed 2.5%, leaving Fed cuts uncertain and volatility rising ahead of March. – vtmarketsmy.com

    13 February 2026
    In January, the seasonally adjusted U.S. core CPI index rose to 332.79 from 331.86 previously

    Hotter-than-expected January core CPI rose to 332.79 (+0.28%) as jobs surged, reviving “economy too hot” fears. Rate-cut hopes fade, yields and volatility may rise, pressuring stocks while boosting the dollar. – vtmarketsmy.com

    13 February 2026
    EUR/GBP rebounds from earlier lows as Eurozone GDP data meets fourth-quarter 2025 forecasts, supporting the euro

    EUR/GBP bounced off 0.8700 as Eurozone GDP met forecasts and jobs stayed firm, while UK growth disappointed. With ECB steady, BoE turning dovish, cheap options favor euro upside toward 0.8850. – vtmarketsmy.com

    13 February 2026
    Forecasts were met as the US core consumer price index held steady at 2.5% year on year

    Core US CPI held at 2.5% in January, matching forecasts. With no inflation surprise, the Fed can stay patient, volatility may fall, options-selling gains appeal—until jobs data sparks new fears. – vtmarketsmy.com

    13 February 2026
    U.S. monthly Consumer Price Index rose 0.2% in January, below the 0.3% forecast, report says

    Cooler-than-expected January CPI (0.2% vs 0.3%) is fueling rate-cut bets. Markets now see 75% odds of a March cut, boosting tech, Treasuries, lower volatility, and a weaker dollar. – vtmarketsmy.com

    13 February 2026
    In January, US core CPI (excluding food and energy) rose 0.3%, matching market expectations

    Core US inflation rose 0.3% in January, matching forecasts—steady disinflation, less Fed surprise. March rate cut looks unlikely; May/June possible. Expect calmer bonds, lower volatility, range-bound stocks, options opportunities. – vtmarketsmy.com

    13 February 2026
    US CPI (non-seasonally adjusted) came in at 325.25 in January, below the 325.41 forecast

    Cooler-than-expected January CPI (325.25 vs 325.41) is reshaping markets: traders now see earlier Fed cuts, VIX may sink, tech could rally, and 2-year yields fall—jobs data is next. – vtmarketsmy.com

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