Live Updates

    21 February 2026
    DBS economist Chua Han Teng expects the PBOC to hold the one-year LPR at 3.00% as January data emerges

    China’s central bank is likely to hold its key rate at 3.00% on Feb 24, prioritizing yuan stability and targeted support over broad cuts—keeping markets calm now, with easing expected late 2026. – vtmarketsmy.com

    21 February 2026
    MUFG analysts say geopolitics, inflation and diverging monetary policy are driving Asian regional currency performance this week

    Asia’s week hinges on geopolitics, inflation and central bank calls: Korea likely holds rates through 2026, Thailand may cut, China stays steady, and Australia’s CPI could support a hawkish AUD. – vtmarketsmy.com

    21 February 2026
    UOB expects Bank Negara Malaysia to hold the OPR until 2026 as inflation stays stable and pressures remain contained

    Malaysia inflation held at 1.6% as growth stayed solid, so Bank Negara likely keeps OPR at 2.75% through 2026. Expect calmer rates, FX divergence risk, and option opportunities. – vtmarketsmy.com

    21 February 2026
    DBS’s Radhika Rao says BSP cut rates to 4.25% as recovery, confidence and spending weaken

    BSP slashed rates to 4.25% as growth weakens and spending delays persist. Forecasts fell, inflation rose. Expect more easing, added liquidity, and a softer peso—potentially pushing USD/PHP toward 57.00. – vtmarketsmy.com

    21 February 2026
    AUD/USD rises for a second day as a weaker dollar and rising inflation push it toward 0.7100 highs

    AUD/USD climbed toward 0.7100 as the dollar weakened, but 2026 shows a calmer, range-bound market near 0.6650. Watch 0.7147 resistance, 0.7000 support; options-selling strategies may shine. – vtmarketsmy.com

    21 February 2026
    Gold rises above $5,060 as slowing US growth and hotter core PCE inflation put pressure on the dollar

    Gold jumped above $5,000 as US growth slowed, inflation stayed hot, and the dollar weakened. Tariff uncertainty and geopolitical risks add fuel. Watch yields, jobs, and PPI for gold’s next move. – vtmarketsmy.com

    21 February 2026
    MUFG’s Lloyd Chan says BI maintains 2026 forecasts; inflation risks could weaken the rupiah if overheating is tolerated

    Indonesia’s inflation just breached target, bond auction demand is weakening, and yields may rise. That combo threatens the rupiah: USD/IDR could climb despite modest SRBI inflows, tightening Bank Indonesia’s options. – vtmarketsmy.com

    21 February 2026
    With PCE inflation rising and GDP weakening, the US dollar stayed firm as the DXY rose nearly 1%

    Markets brace for a volatility breakout: hot 3% core PCE clashes with weak 1.4% GDP, stalling DXY near 97.80. Watch options, EUR/GBP, gold, yen, and key data. – vtmarketsmy.com

    21 February 2026
    US CFTC gold non-commercial net positions slipped marginally, easing from 160k to 159.9k

    Gold speculators just stopped moving: CFTC net longs barely dipped from 160K to 159.9K. With inflation sticky and jobs strong, traders await Fed signals—calm positioning could precede volatility. – vtmarketsmy.com

    21 February 2026
    US CFTC oil non-commercial net positions rose to 141.3K from 117.8K

    Big oil bulls are back: CFTC net-long crude bets jumped to 141.3K from 117.8K. With OPEC+ cuts and falling U.S. inventories, traders eye calls and 5–10% upside. – vtmarketsmy.com

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