Consumer sentiment fell to 56.6, missing forecasts—an early red flag. Expect weaker spending, more volatility, and potentially a cautious Fed. Consider VIX calls, Treasury futures, and protective index puts. – vtmarketsmy.com
US business growth cooled in February: Composite PMI fell to 52.3 as manufacturing and services softened. Weaker demand, high prices, and weather raise volatility, boost rate-cut odds, and favor defensive, bond, and euro trades. – vtmarketsmy.com
Canada’s 2025 export “diversification” was mostly gold-fueled. Strip out gold, and non‑US growth looks weak, leaving Canada exposed as the USMCA review nears and tariff risks threaten the loonie. – vtmarketsmy.com
EUR/USD stalls near 1.176 as weak US GDP clashes with sticky PCE inflation, clouding Fed cuts. Mixed PMIs and jobs data lift options volatility, spotlighting straddles or iron condors. – vtmarketsmy.com
Manufacturing growth is easing: February’s US PMI hit 51.2 vs 52.6 expected. That miss could spark volatility, boost rate-cut bets, hit industrials, and weaken the dollar—consider hedges. – vtmarketsmy.com
US Composite PMI slipped to 52.3, hinting growth is slowing. That could spark higher volatility, boost rate-cut bets, and trigger equity hedging. Consider defensive sectors like staples and utilities. – vtmarketsmy.com
Eurozone PMI climbed to 51.9 in February, hinting stabilisation and moderate growth. Manufacturing sentiment led. Commerzbank sees weak growth. Markets may calm, ECB stay patient; traders eye range-bound volatility and EUR/USD. – vtmarketsmy.com
Sticky US inflation keeps rate-cut hopes on ice: December PCE hit 2.9% (core 3.0%) with 0.4% monthly gains, boosting DXY near 98 and supporting higher-for-longer trades. – vtmarketsmy.com
AUD/USD slips near 0.7050 as weak US GDP spooks markets—but sticky inflation complicates the Fed outlook. Expect higher volatility; downside bias toward 0.6900, yet reversal risk looms. – vtmarketsmy.com
Sweden’s inflation hit the 2% target as services prices cooled unexpectedly. Markets now expect a more dovish Riksbank, possible rate cuts from 1.75%, lower swap rates, and a weaker krona. – vtmarketsmy.com
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