TD Securities predicts Starmer ousted by September, Labour shifts left; leadership race, higher spending, no election before 2028.
TLT tracks long-term Treasuries; after a five-wave drop, a wave IV consolidation may precede another decline.
Colombia’s March retail sales jumped 13.4% year-on-year, beating the 10.1% forecast by 3.3 points.
Eurozone and US 2026 growth forecasts drop; ECB may hike rates; dollar and euro ranges persist.
Euro drops near 1.1626 as hawkish Fed bets lift dollar, yields; Middle East disruptions boost inflation.
USD/CAD near 1.3760 as hot US inflation, higher yields, and Middle East risks boost dollar. CAD cushioned.
AUD/USD slid to 0.7155 as strong US data boosted Fed hike odds and dollar demand.
Japan’s 1Q GDP, trade and CPI are due; growth firm, consumption weak, BoJ hike likely July.
London shifts focus to platinum as WPIC forecasts another supply deficit, shrinking inventories and weaker automotive demand.
Canada’s April inflation seen at 3.1% y/y, 0.6% m/m, driven by energy, base effects.
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