Live Updates

    16 February 2026
    Oil prices stay buoyed by a risk premium as markets await Geneva talks, but easing tensions could revive bearishness and push prices lower

    Oil prices are propped up by geopolitics, not fundamentals. Geneva talks and OPEC+ decisions could erase the risk premium, exposing surplus supply, rising inventories, and triggering a sharp decline. – vtmarketsmy.com

    16 February 2026
    WTI crude stays below $63 as traders watch US-Iran talks, with prices holding within Friday’s range

    WTI is stuck at $62–$63, awaiting US-Iran nuclear talks. Geopolitical tensions and possible OPEC+ output hikes cap gains, while surprise inventory draws support prices. Options traders eye breakout straddles. – vtmarketsmy.com

    16 February 2026
    USD/JPY rises 0.54% to 153.60 as weak Japanese GDP and thin holiday liquidity lift the pair

    USD/JPY rose to 153.60 on thin holiday liquidity. Weak Japan GDP hit the yen and delayed BOJ hikes. With wide US-Japan rate gaps, traders favor yield plays—hedge intervention risk. – vtmarketsmy.com

    16 February 2026
    In Europe, sterling steadies near 1.3645 against the dollar as traders await UK December jobs data

    GBP/USD hovered near 1.3645 awaiting UK jobs and inflation data. A year later, BoE rate cuts and softer wages contrast with stronger US inflation and delayed Fed easing, driving sterling lower. – vtmarketsmy.com

    16 February 2026
    Eurozone industrial production beat forecasts month on month, falling 1.4% (seasonally adjusted) versus the expected 1.5% drop

    Eurozone output dipped 1.4% in December, slightly better than forecasts—sparking brief relief. But weak PMI and sticky inflation keep ECB cautious, limiting rallies; traders eye cautious options plays. – vtmarketsmy.com

    16 February 2026
    Geoff Yu expects the RBNZ to keep rates at 2.25%, but markets anticipate tightening amid persistent inflation pressures

    RBNZ may hold rates at 2.25% but signal hikes as inflation stays high. A hawkish shift could lift an underheld NZD, boosting crosses; traders eye calls amid volatility. – vtmarketsmy.com

    16 February 2026
    Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose says the CBR cut rates by 50bps and raised its 2026 inflation forecast, but expects lower rates in 2027

    Russia’s central bank cut rates to 15.5% and signaled more cuts ahead, despite higher inflation forecasts. Lower oil and surplus projections point to a weaker rouble, with USD/RUB seen returning toward 100. – vtmarketsmy.com

    16 February 2026
    After weak GDP data, a softer yen helps the euro recover losses and climb above 182.00 ahead of industry output data

    EUR/JPY jumps past 182 as weak Japan GDP dents the Yen, but stubborn Japanese inflation and fragile Eurozone data hint reversal. Traders eye put options amid rising volatility and looming central-bank decisions. – vtmarketsmy.com

    16 February 2026
    Silver trades near $77, slightly lower, as bears gain control and support near $74.50 holds nearby

    Silver can’t catch a bid: stuck below $80 amid choppy trading and bearish momentum. Higher inflation, elevated rates, falling ETF holdings, and gold outperformance hint at downside toward $64. – vtmarketsmy.com

    16 February 2026
    MUFG’s Lee Hardman says weaker Japan Q4 GDP slowed the yen’s momentum, lifting USD/JPY back above 153

    Japan’s weak Q4 GDP hit Yen hopes, lifting USD/JPY above 153 and later 158.50. Softer BoJ hike bets and sticky US inflation favor upside; watch supports 155, 152, 150.60. – vtmarketsmy.com

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