Live Updates

    26 February 2026
    AUD/JPY rises above 111.00 as Australia’s CPI boosts expectations of further Reserve Bank of Australia rate hikes

    AUD/JPY surged 1.2% after hot Australian CPI boosted RBA hike bets, breaking 111.00. Bulls eye 112–113, but BOJ normalization could spark yen reversal; consider option hedges. – vtmarketsmy.com

    26 February 2026
    TD Securities expects Premier Li to set 2026 growth targets and deficits, prioritising consumer stimulus driven by demand

    China may target 4.5–5% GDP growth in 2026, funded by a near-9% deficit. Expect demand-boosting policies, consumer trade-ins, and potential rallies in commodities, AUD, and consumer-linked stocks. – vtmarketsmy.com

    26 February 2026
    After markets closed, Nvidia beat Q4 forecasts and raised guidance, sending shares up over 3% in after-hours trading

    Nvidia crushed earnings and guided higher as AI demand surges—yet shares only gained 3%. That “priced-in” reaction plus volatility crush favors option spreads, while weaker peers signal tech’s unforgiving split. – vtmarketsmy.com

    26 February 2026
    BNY’s Geoff Yu warns that crowded carry trades have left Brazilian assets overexposed after strong inflows in February 2026, increasing rebalancing risks

    Brazil’s BRL and IBOVESPA surged in February 2026 as high Selic yields pulled in heavy inflows—but positioning is crowded. Rebalancing could spark selloffs; consider hedges like IBOV puts or USD/BRL calls. – vtmarketsmy.com

    26 February 2026
    GBP/JPY rose again as the yen weakened after Takaichi nominated dovish academics, trading near 212.00

    GBP/JPY jumps past 211 as yen weakens on dovish BoJ picks, but warning signs loom. Rising Japan inflation and UK recession may flip the trend; watch 212 resistance and 208 support. – vtmarketsmy.com

    26 February 2026
    After hotter-than-expected January CPI, the Australian dollar rose to two-week highs, boosting expectations of an RBA rate hike

    Australian inflation surprise lifts AUD to two-week highs as the US dollar slips on trade worries. GBP steadies, yen weakens, gold jumps. Watch CPI/jobs data; option plays: AUD, DXY, gold. – vtmarketsmy.com

    26 February 2026
    OCBC strategists see USD/CNY falling and watch the fix as RMB strength persists amid softer dollar sentiment

    USD/CNY slid post-holidays on weaker dollar and risk-on mood; traders watch PBoC daily fix for appreciation signals. Now policy tilts weaker yuan, risks snapback higher, targeting 7.02+. – vtmarketsmy.com

    26 February 2026
    Musalem says inflation is nearly one point above the Fed’s goal as employment cools gradually and orderly

    Inflation remains near 2.6%, above the Fed’s 2% target, while jobs cool steadily. Musalem expects 2%+ growth and 4.3% unemployment, but Warsh’s hawkish Fed signals higher-for-longer volatility. – vtmarketsmy.com

    26 February 2026
    Societe Generale says USD/ZAR is consolidating, but missing the 50-day average risks deeper losses below the range floor

    USD/ZAR is stuck in a range, but big moves loom: resistance sits at 16.25–16.40. A break below 15.63 targets 15.45–15.00, amid improving fiscal outlook and bearish options positioning. – vtmarketsmy.com

    26 February 2026
    USD/CHF slips for a fourth session, trading near 0.7729 in a 0.7718–0.7757 range, above the 20-day SMA

    USD/CHF slides for a fourth day, consolidating in a bearish triangle. Watch 0.7650–0.7665: a break could reopen yearly lows. RSI stays weak; SNB-favored fundamentals keep rallies capped. – vtmarketsmy.com

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