Live Updates

    23 February 2026
    The Chicago Fed National Activity Index in the United States fell from -0.04 to -0.21

    U.S. growth is cooling: Chicago Fed index fell to -0.21 as jobs slow and claims rise. Markets may turn volatile, prompting defensive hedges—puts, Treasuries rate-cut plays, and VIX calls. – vtmarketsmy.com

    23 February 2026
    NBC’s Katsoras and Paquet say Supreme Court and White House actions reset tariffs, broadly steadying the dollar outlook

    Court cut tariffs briefly, but the President quickly restored pressure with a 15% blanket tariff. Expect protectionism, volatility hedges, strong USD, MXN/CAD edge, supply-chain losers, and aircraft winners. – vtmarketsmy.com

    23 February 2026
    In December, the US Chicago Fed National Activity Index rose to 0.18 from -0.04

    Chicago Fed activity rebounded to 0.18 in December, signaling momentum. But hotter 3.3% CPI and rising jobless claims cloud the outlook—fueling rate and market volatility and trading opportunities. – vtmarketsmy.com

    23 February 2026
    Rabobank’s Jane Foley says tariff uncertainty is boosting the Swiss franc, strengthening its G10 safe-haven status amid SNB dilemmas

    Swiss franc surges to G10’s top amid tariff anxiety—classic safe-haven demand. Rabobank warns export pain, sees small odds of negative SNB rates, possible intervention, and cuts EUR/CHF 3‑month forecast to 0.91. – vtmarketsmy.com

    23 February 2026
    In London, futures diverge: the S&P leads above CP/POC, the Dow sits below the pivot, and the Nasdaq tests lower-gate support

    US index futures split before New York: S&P leads above key pivots, Nasdaq lags below pivot near support, Dow stuck at decision level. Watch early gate reactions; consider long ES, short NQ. – vtmarketsmy.com

    23 February 2026
    MUFG’s Derek Halpenny says Takaichi’s priorities and smaller supplementary budgets could slow the Bank of Japan’s gradual tightening

    Japan’s shift to investment-led budgets could trigger Bank of Japan tightening. MUFG sees a 70% April 28 hike chance, boosted by FY2026 budget approval, board changes, and rising yen volatility opportunities. – vtmarketsmy.com

    23 February 2026
    EUR/GBP stays range-bound, capped near 0.8750, as investors await Eurozone CPI and German GDP data

    EUR/GBP can’t crack 0.8750—will inflation finally spark a breakout? Eurozone data and Germany GDP loom, as a hawkish ECB meets weak German growth and a cautious, cut-wary BoE. – vtmarketsmy.com

    23 February 2026
    Bhargava says Asia gains overall as the US shifts from reciprocal IEEPA tariffs to a flat Section 122 surcharge

    Supreme Court-driven shift to a flat 15% Section 122 surcharge cut tariffs on Asian exporters—especially China and India—boosting apparel, toys, and machinery competitiveness, shaping equity, options, and currency trades. – vtmarketsmy.com

    23 February 2026
    Safe-haven demand lifts silver to near $86.50, up 2.35% amid US trade uncertainty and Iran tensions

    Silver surged to $86.50 as tariffs ruled illegal, Trump floated new 15% global duties, the dollar slid, and Fed cuts loomed. Middle East risks spiked volatility, creating options opportunities despite industrial-demand headwinds. – vtmarketsmy.com

    23 February 2026
    Sterling weakens against major peers after BoE’s Alan Taylor signals a dovish rate outlook in the European session

    Pound tumbles as BoE’s Alan Taylor hints at 2–3 more rate cuts, citing weaker growth and easing inflation. Markets price further easing; GBP/USD slides, while resilient US jobs keep the dollar firm. – vtmarketsmy.com

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