Live Updates

    20 February 2026
    Euro steady against dollar as investors weigh weak US GDP and firm inflation; EUR/USD near 1.1763, set for weekly loss

    EUR/USD stalls near 1.176 as weak US GDP clashes with sticky PCE inflation, clouding Fed cuts. Mixed PMIs and jobs data lift options volatility, spotlighting straddles or iron condors. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    February’s US S&P Global manufacturing PMI missed forecasts, coming in at 51.2 versus 52.6 expected

    Manufacturing growth is easing: February’s US PMI hit 51.2 vs 52.6 expected. That miss could spark volatility, boost rate-cut bets, hit industrials, and weaken the dollar—consider hedges. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    In February, the US S&P Global Composite PMI slipped from 53 to 52.3, reflecting slower activity

    US Composite PMI slipped to 52.3, hinting growth is slowing. That could spark higher volatility, boost rate-cut bets, and trigger equity hedging. Consider defensive sectors like staples and utilities. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    Commerzbank’s Stamer says February’s eurozone PMI hit 51.9, signalling moderate growth as manufacturing sentiment strengthened and services rose

    Eurozone PMI climbed to 51.9 in February, hinting stabilisation and moderate growth. Manufacturing sentiment led. Commerzbank sees weak growth. Markets may calm, ECB stay patient; traders eye range-bound volatility and EUR/USD. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    The Commerce Department reported December headline PCE inflation at 2.9% year over year, with core PCE slightly higher at 3.0% year over year.

    Sticky US inflation keeps rate-cut hopes on ice: December PCE hit 2.9% (core 3.0%) with 0.4% monthly gains, boosting DXY near 98 and supporting higher-for-longer trades. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    After softer US GDP data, AUD/USD slips to around 0.7050 as US inflation remains elevated, down 0.13%

    AUD/USD slips near 0.7050 as weak US GDP spooks markets—but sticky inflation complicates the Fed outlook. Expect higher volatility; downside bias toward 0.6900, yet reversal risk looms. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    Nordea’s Torbjörn Isaksson says weak Swedish CPIF data strengthens the case for a dovish Riksbank and lowers inflation forecasts

    Sweden’s inflation hit the 2% target as services prices cooled unexpectedly. Markets now expect a more dovish Riksbank, possible rate cuts from 1.75%, lower swap rates, and a weaker krona. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    In the United States, quarterly PCE prices rose to 2.9% in Q4, beating the 2.8% forecast

    Hotter inflation is back: Q4 PCE rose 2.9% (vs 2.8%), and January CPI hit 3.2%, slashing March cut odds. Yields rise, stocks face pressure—hedge with index puts or call spreads. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    Fourth-quarter US annualised GDP rose 1.4%, well short of the 3% growth forecast

    US Q4 GDP grew just 1.4%, missing 3% forecasts—signaling faster slowdown. Markets now expect earlier Fed rate cuts, higher volatility, falling yields, and a weaker dollar. – vtmarketsmy.com

    20 February 2026
    US annual PCE price index beats December forecast, rising to 2.9%

    US PCE inflation hit 2.9% in December, topping forecasts and signaling stickier prices. Markets now expect fewer early-2026 Fed cuts, higher yields, rising volatility, and a stronger dollar. – vtmarketsmy.com

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